2015 Canadian federal election in Quebec

2015 Canadian federal election in Quebec
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All 78 Quebec seats in the House of Commons of Canada
	Opinion polls
Registered	6,393,478
Turnout	4,303,758 (67.3)
Prime Minister before election; Stephen Harper; Conservative	Prime Minister after election ; Justin Trudeau; Liberal

In the 2015 Canadian federal election, there were 78 members of Parliament elected to the House of Commons from the province of Quebec, making up 23.1% of all members of the House.

The Liberal party became the biggest party in Quebec, a position they have held as of 2025.

Background

2012 electoral redistribution

The 2015 Canadian federal election was the first election to utilize the electoral districts established following the 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution. The House of Commons increased from 308 seats to 338 seats, with Quebec's number of seats increasing from 75 to 78 seats. This made the average population per constituency in Quebec 104,671 (according to the 2011 Canadian census), which was 672 more people per electoral district than the national average.^[2]

2011 results transposed onto 2013 boundaries
Party		MPs
Party		2011 actual result	2011 notional result	Change
	New Democratic	59	61	2
	Liberal	7	8	1
	Conservative	5	5	0
	Bloc Québécois	4	4	0
Total seats		75	78	3

Timeline

Changes in Quebec seats held (2011–2015)
Seat	Before				Change
Seat	Date	Member	Party	Reason	Date	Member	Party
Saint-Maurice—Champlain	January 10, 2012	Lise St-Denis	█ New Democratic	Crossed the floor			█ Liberal
Jonquière—Alma	February 27, 2013	Claude Patry	█ New Democratic	Crossed the floor			█ Bloc Québécois
Bourassa	June 2, 2013	Denis Coderre	█ Liberal	Resigned to run for mayor of Montreal	November 25, 2013	Emmanuel Dubourg	█ Liberal
Ahuntsic	September 12, 2013.	Maria Mourani	█ Bloc Québécois	Expelled from caucus			█ Independent^[c]^[3]
Montcalm	June 6, 2014	Manon Perreault	█ New Democratic	Suspended from caucus			█ Independent^[d]
Haute-Gaspésie—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia	August 12, 2014.	Jean-François Fortin	█ Bloc Québécois	Resigned from caucus			█ Independent
Verchères—Les Patriotes	August 20, 2014	Sana Hassainia	█ New Democratic	Changed affiliation			█ Independent
Richmond—Arthabaska	August 25, 2014	André Bellavance	█ Bloc Québécois	Resigned from caucus			█ Independent
Haute-Gaspésie—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia	October 21, 2014.	Jean-François Fortin	█ Independent	Co-founded Strength in Democracy			█ Str. in Demo.
Repentigny	October 21, 2014	Jean-François Larose	█ New Democratic	Co-founded Strength in Democracy			█ Str. in Demo.
Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel	November 5, 2014	Massimo Pacetti	█ Liberal	Suspended from caucus			█ Independent

Opinion polling

Predictions

Results

Summary

Quebec summary seat results in the 2015 Canadian federal election^[4]^[5]
Party		Votes	Vote %	Vote +/-	Seats	Seat +/-
	Liberal	1,515,673	35.7%	21.5pp	40 / 78 (51%)	33
	New Democratic	1,075,366	25.4%	17.5pp	16 / 78 (21%)	38^[e]
	Conservative	709,164	16.7%	0.2pp	12 / 78 (15%)	7
	Bloc Québécois	821,144	19.3%	4.1pp	10 / 78 (13%)	8
	Green	95,395	2.3%	0.2pp	0 / 78 (0%)	0^[f]
	Strength in Democracy	8,059	0.2%	0.2pp	0 / 78 (0%)	2^[g]
	Independent	3,438	0.1%	pp	0 / 78 (0%)	4^[h]
	Other	13,248	0.3%	pp	0 / 78 (0%)	0
Total		4,241,487	100%	–	78 / 78 (100%)	3^[i]

Comparison with national results

Results by party
Party		Popular vote %			Seats in caucus
Party		QC	Natl. avg.	diff.	Seats in caucus
	Liberal	35.7	39.5	-3.8	40 / 184 (22%)
	New Democratic	25.4	19.7	+5.7	16 / 44 (36%)
	Conservative	16.7	31.9	-15.2	12 / 99 (12%)
	Bloc Québécois	19.3	4.7	+14.6	10 / 10 (100%)
	Green	2.3	3.4	-1.1	0 / 1 (0%)
	Total	–	–	–	78 / 338 (23%)

New Democratic Party Decline

During the 2015 election, Tom Mulcair's and NDP's stance on a niqab issue contributed to a decline in the party's support in Quebec.^[6]^[7]^[8]

The Bloc Québécois supported banning the face covering during citizenship ceremony and voting.^[9]^[10]^[11]

Notes

^ Includes José Núñez-Melo, who sat as a member of the NDP at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as a Green Party candidate in the 2015 election. Does not include Maria Mourani, who sat as an independent at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as an NDP candidate in the 2015 election.
^ Does not include José Núñez-Melo, who sat as a member of the NDP at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as a Green Party candidate in the 2015 election
^ On 19 November 2014, Mourani announced that she would run for the NDP in the next election, though as per the party's policy on crossing the floor she remained an independent MP until the election.
^ Sat as an independent for the remainder of her term, but ran as a Strength in Democracy candidate in the 2015 election.
^ Includes José Núñez-Melo, who sat as a member of the NDP at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as a Green Party candidate in the 2015 election. Does not include Maria Mourani, who sat as an independent at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as an NDP candidate in the 2015 election.
^ Does not include José Núñez-Melo, who sat as a member of the NDP at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as a Green Party candidate in the 2015 election
^ Does not include Manon Perreault, who sat as an independent at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as a Strength in Democracy candidate in the 2015 election.
^ Includes Manon Perreault, who sat as an independent at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as a Strength in Democracy candidate in the 2015 election. Includes Maria Mourani, who sat as an independent at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as an NDP candidate in the 2015 election.
^ Quebec gained 3 seats in the electoral redistribution.

References

^ "Forty-Second General Election 2015". www.elections.ca.
^ Canada, Elections. "Redistribution of Federal Electoral Districts 2022". Elections Canada.
^ "Former Bloc member Maria Mourani joins NDP — but not as MP". Toronto Star. The Canadian Press. November 19, 2014. Retrieved June 1, 2025.
^ "Forty-Second General Election 2015". www.elections.ca.
^ "Forty-Second General Election 2015". www.elections.ca.
^ "Mulcair digs in on niqab stance, despite the fact it could cost the NDP votes in Quebec". Nationalpost.com.
^ Palmer, Allison Lampert (September 30, 2015). "Canada election race narrowing to two parties as NDP stumbles". Reuters. Archived from the original on July 20, 2018.
^ "NDP insiders aim to stay competitive after 'a couple of rough weeks'". Cbc.ca. Retrieved November 28, 2021.
^ "Bloc Québécois targets NDP over niqabs, pipelines in controversial new ad". Cbc.ca. Retrieved November 28, 2021.
^ "Bloc Québécois anti-niqab ad takes aim at NDP". Cbc.ca. Retrieved November 28, 2021.
^ Bryden, Joan (September 25, 2015). "Fact Check: How meaningful is Bloc promise to ban veiled voting, oath taking?". Ctvnews.ca. Archived from the original on September 27, 2015. Retrieved November 28, 2021.

[2] Includes José Núñez-Melo, who sat as a member of the NDP at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as a Green Party candidate in the 2015 election. Does not include Maria Mourani, who sat as an independent at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as an NDP candidate in the 2015 election.

[3] Does not include José Núñez-Melo, who sat as a member of the NDP at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as a Green Party candidate in the 2015 election

[5] On 19 November 2014, Mourani announced that she would run for the NDP in the next election, though as per the party's policy on crossing the floor she remained an independent MP until the election.

[7] Sat as an independent for the remainder of her term, but ran as a Strength in Democracy candidate in the 2015 election.

[10] Includes José Núñez-Melo, who sat as a member of the NDP at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as a Green Party candidate in the 2015 election. Does not include Maria Mourani, who sat as an independent at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as an NDP candidate in the 2015 election.

[11] Does not include José Núñez-Melo, who sat as a member of the NDP at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as a Green Party candidate in the 2015 election

[12] Does not include Manon Perreault, who sat as an independent at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as a Strength in Democracy candidate in the 2015 election.

[13] Includes Manon Perreault, who sat as an independent at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as a Strength in Democracy candidate in the 2015 election. Includes Maria Mourani, who sat as an independent at the dissolution of Parliament, but ran as an NDP candidate in the 2015 election.

[14] Quebec gained 3 seats in the electoral redistribution.

[1] "Forty-Second General Election 2015". www.elections.ca.

[4] Canada, Elections. "Redistribution of Federal Electoral Districts 2022". Elections Canada.

[6] "Former Bloc member Maria Mourani joins NDP — but not as MP". Toronto Star. The Canadian Press. November 19, 2014. Retrieved June 1, 2025.

[8] "Forty-Second General Election 2015". www.elections.ca.

[9] "Forty-Second General Election 2015". www.elections.ca.

[15] "Mulcair digs in on niqab stance, despite the fact it could cost the NDP votes in Quebec". Nationalpost.com.

[16] Palmer, Allison Lampert (September 30, 2015). "Canada election race narrowing to two parties as NDP stumbles". Reuters. Archived from the original on July 20, 2018.

[17] "NDP insiders aim to stay competitive after 'a couple of rough weeks'". Cbc.ca. Retrieved November 28, 2021.

[18] "Bloc Québécois targets NDP over niqabs, pipelines in controversial new ad". Cbc.ca. Retrieved November 28, 2021.

[19] "Bloc Québécois anti-niqab ad takes aim at NDP". Cbc.ca. Retrieved November 28, 2021.

[20] Bryden, Joan (September 25, 2015). "Fact Check: How meaningful is Bloc promise to ban veiled voting, oath taking?". Ctvnews.ca. Archived from the original on September 27, 2015. Retrieved November 28, 2021.

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v t e 2015 Canadian federal election
Outgoing: Conservative majority Result: Liberal majority
Bloc Québécois Gilles Duceppe, candidates Christian Heritage Rod Taylor, candidates Conservative Stephen Harper, candidates Green Elizabeth May, candidates Liberal Justin Trudeau, candidates New Democrats Tom Mulcair, candidates Strength in Democracy Jean-François Fortin, candidates Bold indicates parties with members elected to the House of Commons.
Results overview Results by riding MPs who stood down MPs who lost their seat Newspaper endorsements Other endorsements Opinion polling (by constituency) Timeline British Columbia Alberta Saskatchewan Manitoba Ontario Quebec New Brunswick Nova Scotia Prince Edward Island Newfoundland and Labrador Territories

v t e Elections and referendums in Quebec
General elections	1867 1871 1875 1878 1881 1886 1890 1892 1897 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1919 1923 1927 1931 1935 1936 1939 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1962 1966 1970 1973 1976 1981 1985 1989 1994 1998 2003 2007 2008 2012 2014 2018 2022 44th
Municipal elections	1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1983 1985 1986 1987 1989 1990 1993 1994 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2005 2006 2009 2013 2017 2021 2025
Federal elections	1980 1984 1988 1993 1997 2000 2004 2006 2008 2011 2015 2019 2021 2025
Referendums	1919 1980 1992 1995 2004
See also: List of Quebec by-elections