Electorate opinion polling and projections for the 2025 Australian federal election

Various research and polling firms conducted opinion polling before the 2025 Australian federal election in individual electorates across Australia, in relation to voting intentions in the House of Representatives. Several firms have also conducted MRP polls, which are projections based on national data, rather than polls in the relevant electorate.^[1]

Australian Capital Territory

Bean

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2CP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	IND	LIB
3 May 2025	2025 federal election							—				—
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	41.9%	30.2%	15.2%	12.8%	—	—	62%	—	38%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	41%	31%	14%	—	—	13%	62%	—	38%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[5]^[6]	10,217	—	38.1%	29.1%	15.7%	11.9%	4%	1.3%	59.5%	—	40.5%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[7]^[8]	8,732	—	36%	32.9%	12.9%	11%	6.2%	1%	55.2%	—	44.8%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	38%	33%	21%	—	—	8%	61%	—	39%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	40%	32%	18%	—	—	11%	62%	—	38%
Feb – May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	41%	30%	17%	—	—	12%	63%	—	37%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			41.7%	29.7%	14.8%	8.2%	2.7%	2.9%	63%	—	37%

Canberra

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2CP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	GRN	LIB	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	GRN
3 May 2025	2025 federal election							—
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	43.3%	25.7%	19.7%	8.6%	—	2.6%	60.1%	39.9%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	50%	19%	24%	—	—	7%	68%	32%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[5]^[6]	10,217	—	39.9%	25.1%	21.3%	9.9%	2.6%	1.2%	59.8%	40.2%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[7]^[8]	8,732	—	41.4%	24.6%	21.4%	8%	3.7%	0.8%	64.3%	35.7%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	48%	26%	19%	—	—	7%	67%	33%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	45%	19%	24%	—	—	12%	66%	34%
Feb – May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	44%	26%	23%	—	—	7%	62%	38%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			44.9%	24.7%	21.8%	5.2%	1.7%	1.8%	62.2%	37.8%

Fenner

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
3 May 2025	2025 federal election						—	—
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	51.1%	27.7%	16.8%	—	—	4.4%	66.6%	33.4%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	40%	27%	18%	—	—	15%	61%	39%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[5]^[6]	10,217	—	40.5%	28.7%	18.5%	5.6%	4.6%	2.1%	61.1%	38.9%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[7]^[8]	8,732	—	42.2%	30%	15.1%	6.2%	5.3%	1.1%	59.8%	40.2%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	37%	31%	16%	—	—	16%	57%	43%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	40%	34%	13%	—	—	13%	56%	44%
Feb – May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	45%	29%	19%	—	—	7%	66%	34%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			48.3%	27.8%	16.8%	2.7%	—	4.4%	65.7%	34.3%

New South Wales

Banks

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	36%	34%	10.3%	7.5%	2.7%	9.4%	49.6%	50.4%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	42.2%	32.2%	10.7%	6.2%	4.8%	3.9%	52.5%	47.5%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	44.4%	29.9%	10.5%	6.3%	6.7%	2.1%	54.8%	45.2%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	49%	32%	7%	—	—	12%	57%	43%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	49%	33%	5%	—	—	14%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			45.2%	35.3%	8.8%	2.9%	1%	6.9%	53.2%	46.8%

Barton

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	38.9%	32.3%	13.5%	8.1%	3.9%	3.2%	56.3%	43.7%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	38.5%	33.8%	13.2%	6.8%	5.8%	1.9%	55.4%	44.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	40%	33%	14%	—	—	13%	57%	43%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	45%	36%	8%	—	—	11%	56%	44%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			50.4%	26.2%	12.5%	4.8%	—	6.1%	65.5%	34.5%

Bennelong

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	40.7%	31%	12.8%	4.4%	5.2%	5.8%	48.6%	51.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	43.8%	29.4%	11.2%	6.3%	5.9%	3.4%	45.4%	54.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	46%	33%	13%	—	—	8%	46%	54%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	41%	36%	11%	—	—	12%	49%	51%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			41.4%	37.7%	11.4%	1.7%	—	7.8%	51%	49%

Berowra

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	44.1%	23.8%	14.8%	4.8%	8.4%	4%	55.8%	44.2%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	48.4%	24%	12.6%	4.9%	8.4%	1.6%	58.7%	41.3%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	49%	29%	10%	—	—	13%	58%	42%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	48%	28%	11%	—	—	13%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			49.1%	22.2%	15.6%	3.2%	2.9%	7%	59.8%	40.2%

Blaxland

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	39.1%	30.5%	12%	10.1%	3.8%	4.5%	56.5%	43.5%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	39.1%	29.9%	14.2%	8.1%	5.8%	2.9%	57.7%	42.3%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	43%	35%	10%	—	—	13%	56%	44%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	41%	31%	10%	—	—	18%	56%	44%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			55%	27%	6.4%	5.4%	—	6.3%	64.9%	35.1%

Bradfield

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	IND	ALP	GRN	ONP	OTH	LIB	IND
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	27.9%	47.8%	12.3%	7.2%	2.9%	1.9%	35.5%	64.5%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	39.4%	27.7%	20.4%	8.8%	3.1%	0.7%	50.1%	49.9%
3 Feb 2025	Climate 200^[12]	1,047	±3%	40%	—	—	—	—	—	48%	52%
Between Mar–Dec 2024	Climate 200^[13]	—	—	43%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	41.7%	23.9%	19.7%	10.1%	4.1%	0.5%	51.9%	48.1%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	47%	—	16%	6%	—	32%	53%	47%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	50%	—	16%	6%	—	27%	56%	44%
Feb – May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	51%	—	22%	11%	—	15%	61%	39%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			45.1%	24%	17.5%	9.3%	1.6%	2.6%	54.2%	45.8%

Calare

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2CP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	IND	ALP	ONP	GRN	OTH	NAT	IND	IND
3 May 2025	2025 federal election										—
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	35.6%	35.3%	11.3%	10.2%	4.1%	3.5%	46.9%	—	53.1%
17–24 Apr 2025	YouGov^[14]^[15]	—	±6%	25.1%	38.9%^[a]	8.2%	13.9%	5.1%	8.8%^[b]	43%	—	57%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	42.2%	21%	16%	13.3%	6.7%	0.8%	56.2%	43.8%	—
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	46.2%	18.1%	15.1%	13.0%	6.8%	0.7%	59.7%	40.3%	—
Between Mar–Dec 2024	Climate 200^[13]	—	—	33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	53%	—	23%	—	6%	18%	53%	47%	—
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	47%	—	20%	—	4%	29%	56%	44%	—
Feb – May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	46%	—	18%	—	8%	28%	57%	43%	—
23 Dec 2022	Andrew Gee resigns from the National Party to sit as an independent^[16]
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			47.7%	20.4%	15.1%	8.4%	4.6%	3.8%	59.7%	40.3%	—

Chifley

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	41.3%	29.3%	9.8%	11.4%	4.9%	3.3%	58.2%	41.8%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	43.5%	27.8%	10.2%	9.9%	6.5%	2%	59.4%	40.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	41%	34%	—	9%	—	16%	54%	46%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	44%	30%	—	13%	—	13%	59%	41%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			52.7%	24.7%	6.2%	5.8%	1.9%	8.7%	63.5%	36.5%

Cook

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP	GRN
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	49.4%	25.1%	10.1%	8.2%	4.2%	2.9%	60.2%	39.8%	—
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	52.5%	23.9%	8.4%	8.2%	5.7%	1.4%	62.9%	37.1%	—
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	55%	25%	6%	—	—	14%	63%	37%	—
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	57%	25%	6%	—	—	12%	64%	36%	—
13 Apr 2024	2024 by-election			62.7%	—	16.5%	—	5.7%	15.2%	71.3%	—	28.8%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			55.3%	25%	9.9%	5.1%	—	4.5%	62.4%	37.6%	—

Cowper

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	IND	ALP	ONP	GRN	OTH	NAT	IND
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	35.6%	29.8%	15.3%	11.1%	7.5%	0.7%	48.4%	51.6%
Late Feb 2025	Climate 200^[12]	980	±3%	35%	—	—	—	—	—	47%	53%
Between Mar–Dec 2024	Climate 200^[13]	—	—	42%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	37.1%	25.1%	16.8%	12.8%	7.2%	1.1%	50.9%	49.1%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	42%	—	26%	—	5%	26%	52%	48%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	38%	—	23%	—	11%	28%	47%	53%
Feb – May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	37%	—	18%	—	9%	36%	48%	52%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			39.5%	26.3%	14%	8.1%	5.9%	6.3%	52.3%	47.7%

Cunningham

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	37.2%	27.3%	19.7%	7.3%	5.1%	3.3%	60%	40%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	37.5%	29.4%	17.8%	7.6%	5.8%	1.8%	58.4%	41.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	44%	28%	16%	—	—	12%	63%	37%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	40%	29%	16%	—	—	14%	60%	40%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			40.1%	25%	21.7%	5.1%	—	8.1%	64.7%	35.3%

Dobell

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	35.6%	34.7%	10.9%	11.8%	4.5%	2.7%	52.1%	47.9%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	34.6%	34.7%	9%	13.4%	6.4%	2%	50.7%	49.3%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	40%	38%	7%	—	—	14%	51%	49%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	38%	34%	13%	—	—	15%	51%	49%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			42.9%	33.7%	8.6%	7.5%	—	7.4%	56.5%	43.5%

Eden-Monaro

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
17–24 Apr 2025	YouGov^[14]	268	±6%	42.2%	26.0%	10.9%	7.0%	10.6%	3.3%^[c]	61%	39%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	32.6%	35.8%	10.8%	9%	7%	4.6%	50.7%	49.3%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8732	—	30.4%	37%	9.8%	10.6%	8.9%	3.3%	48.4%	51.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4909	—	39%	37%	7%	—	—	17%	54%	46%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5976	—	36%	38%	7%	—	—	19%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			42.6%	33.0%	9.2%	4.3%	2.0%	8.9%	58.2%	41.8%

Farrer

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	48.5%	18.9%	9.5%	13.1%	7.2%	2.8%	63.6%	36.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	49.5%	19.5%	9%	10.5%	9.2%	2.2%	63.5%	36.5%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	47%	17%	9%	—	—	27%	65%	35%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	51%	19%	7%	—	—	23%	66%	34%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			52.3%	19%	9.1%	6.3%	3.2%	10.2%	66.4%	33.7%

Fowler

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	IND	LIB	GRN	ONP	OTH	IND	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	27.2%	44.8%	13.8%	7.3%	5.6%	1.4%	63%	37%	—
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	27%	—	21%	9%	—	44%	57%	43%	—
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	31.6%	26.9%	23.1%	9.7%	7.3%	1.5%	52.7%	47.3%	—
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	32.1%	22%	26.9%	11.9%	5.4%	1.6%	—	55.8%	44.2%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	22%	—	23%	7%	—	47%	66%	34%	—
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	26%	—	27%	7%	—	40%	61%	—	39%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			36.1%	29.5%	17.2%	4.9%	3.6%	8.9%	51.6%	48.4%	—

Gilmore

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	LIB
17–24 Apr 2025	YouGov^[14]	—	±6%	33.5%	36.2%	11.1%	8.5%	6.0%	4.7%^[d]	—	—
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	38.8%	31.7%	10.6%	9.8%	8%	1.1%	49.1%	50.9%
17–20 Feb 2025	uComms^[e]^[17]^[18]^[19]^[20]	684	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	47.2%	52.8%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	39.6%	29.3%	9.5%	12.1%	8.3%	1.3%	47.2%	52.8%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	45%	32%	6%	—	—	17%	45%	55%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	44%	29%	9%	—	—	18%	44%	56%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			42%	36%	10.2%	4.2%	4%	3.6%	50.2%	49.8%

Grayndler

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	GRN	LIB	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	GRN
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	44.5%	23.4%	19.1%	6.5%	3.9%	2.6%	63%	37%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	46.9%	21.7%	19.4%	5.8%	4.7%	1.5%	63.8%	36.2%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	48%	21%	25%	—	—	6%	66%	34%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	46%	26%	20%	—	—	7%	63%	37%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			53.6%	22%	16%	2.1%	1.5%	4.7%	67.1%	33%

Greenway

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	37.6%	39.6%	7%	6.2%	6.6%	3%	49.8%	50.2%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	34.9%	37%	10.6%	7.4%	8.3%	1.9%	51.4%	48.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	40%	41%	8%	—	—	11%	52%	48%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	42%	37%	8%	—	—	13%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			48.3%	29.8%	7.1%	2.7%	1.6%	10.6%	61.5%	38.5%

Hughes

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	IND	GRN	ONP	OTH	LIB	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	39.5%	24.4%	17.2%	10.4%	5.8%	2.7%	53.9%	46.1%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	42.3%	24.5%	15.4%	8.9%	7.4%	1.4%	56.3%	43.7%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	44%	31%	—	10%	—	16%	53%	47%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	44%	35%	—	8%	—	13%	51%	49%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			43.5%	22.5%	17.5%	6.3%	2.7%	7.4%	57%	43%

Hume

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	IND	ONP	GRN	OTH	LIB	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	42.8%	22.3%	11.8%	7.7%	12.8%	2.7%	59.1%	40.9%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	46.7%	20.2%	11.8%	11.6%	8.2%	1.6%	61.9%	38.1%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	48%	24%	—	—	5%	23%	60%	40%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	44%	27%	—	—	6%	23%	56%	44%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			43.1%	19.9%	16.4%	7.4%	5%	8.3%	57.7%	42.3%

Hunter

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	NAT	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	ALP	NAT
24 Apr 2025	KJC Research^[21]^[22]	600	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	45%	41%
17–24 Apr 2025	YouGov^[14]	—	±6%	35.8%	14.5%	25.3%	8.8%	0.5%	15.0%^[f]	—	—
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	33.2%	30.8%	16.2%	10.2%	7.3%	2.2%	52.2%	47.8%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8732	—	30.6%	33.5%	15.3%	8.7%	9.7%	2.2%	49.1%	50.9%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4909	—	31%	30%	—	9%	—	30%	49%	51%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5976	—	36%	31%	—	8%	—	25%	51%	49%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			38.5%	27.4%	10%	8.9%	7.5%	7.7%	54%	46%

Kingsford Smith

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	41.5%	29.9%	16%	5.4%	5.1%	2%	60.1%	39.9%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	39.8%	31.8%	15.6%	5.4%	5.9%	1.4%	58.1%	41.9%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	40%	35%	16%	—	—	9%	57%	43%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	41%	33%	17%	—	—	10%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			47.9%	28.7%	16.8%	3.1%	—	3.5%	64.5%	35.5%

Lindsay

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	43.2%	28.8%	10.3%	9.6%	4.8%	3.2%	55.4%	44.6%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	43.3%	28.5%	9.5%	11.9%	5.1%	1.7%	56.4%	43.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	48%	29%	7%	—	—	16%	59%	41%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	48%	28%	9%	—	—	15%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			46.7%	31.7%	8%	5.9%	—	7.6%	56.3%	43.7%

Lyne

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	NAT	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	41.1%	20.9%	14%	8.3%	12.9%	2.8%	58.9%	41.1%
Late Feb 2025	Climate 200^[12]	867	±3%	39%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	44.7%	20.2%	12%	7.9%	12.5%	2.7%	61%	39%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	40%	22%	—	8%	—	30%	62%	38%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	39%	20%	—	11%	—	30%	62%	38%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			43.5%	21.5%	7.9%	7.9%	10.5%	8.8%	63.8%	36.2%

Macarthur

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	35%	33.4%	12.2%	11.6%	4.8%	3%	52.6%	47.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	37.6%	33.1%	12.8%	9.9%	4.9%	1.7%	53.2%	46.8%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	32%	41%	—	12%	—	15%	48%	52%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	38%	35%	—	15%	—	12%	54%	46%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			45.9%	30.5%	8%	7.7%	—	7.9%	58.5%	41.5%

Mackellar

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	IND	ALP	GRN	ONP	OTH	IND	LIB
5–7 Mar 2025	Freshwater Strategy^[g]^[23]^[24]	830	—	41%	33%	7%	7%	—	12%	Loss	Win
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	39.7%	34%	14.2%	8.1%	3.5%	0.5%	51.6%	48.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	37.7%	34.5%	13.6%	8.9%	4.8%	0.4%	53.8%	46.2%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	43%	—	13%	3%	—	40%	49%	51%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	43%	—	11%	7%	—	39%	53%	47%
5 Feb 2024	uComms^[h]^[25]	602	±3.85%	35.3%	30.4%	13.2%	5.8%	—	4.5%	54%	46%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			41.4%	38.1%	8.3%	6.1%	2.7%	3.5%	52.5%	47.5%

Macquarie

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	32.7%	36.5%	12.7%	10.1%	5.7%	2.6%	50.6%	49.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	34.3%	37.2%	9.5%	10.9%	6.3%	1.8%	49.9%	50.1%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	35%	39%	8%	—	—	18%	51%	49%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	30%	37%	19%	—	—	13%	54%	46%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			43%	34.6%	9.6%	5.2%	—	7.7%	57.8%	42.2%

McMahon

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	45.5%	27.5%	11.2%	12.0%	3.9%	—	60.8%	39.2%
8 Apr 2025	Compass Polling^[26]^[27]^[28]	1,003	±2.5%	19%	20%	—	—	41%	—	—	—
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	40%	31%	10%	—	—	19%	56%	44%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	37.8%	33.6%	9.6%	8.3%	5.2%	5.5%	54%	46%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	37.7%	34.1%	9.4%	8.6%	6.6%	3.6%	53.5%	46.5%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	41%	36%	11%	—	—	12%	55%	45%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	45%	35%	8%	—	—	12%	56%	44%
Feb – May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	44%	32%	8%	—	—	17%	60%	40%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			48%	28.3%	5.8%	5.4%	—	12.4%	59.5%	40.5%

Mitchell

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	50.1%	23.9%	12.8%	5.3%	3.6%	4.3%	60%	40%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	53.3%	23.5%	10.8%	4.9%	5.9%	1.6%	62.1%	37.9%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	56%	25%	10%	—	—	9%	63%	37%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	55%	25%	10%	—	—	10%	63%	37%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			52.6%	25.5%	11.8%	3%	—	7.1%	60.7%	39.3%

New England

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	ALP	IND	GRN	ONP	OTH	NAT	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	43.8%	18.2%	9.6%	9.8%	12.7%	5.9%	61.2%	38.8%
9–23 Apr 2025	New England Times^[29]	426	±4%	43.6%	24.1%	2.4%	12.2%	6.8%	3.8%^[i]	57.3%	42.7%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	46%	19.7%	11%	8.5%	13.1%	1.7%	61.9%	38.1%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	46.9%	18.4%	13.9%	9%	10.3%	1.4%	62.2%	37.8%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	46%	19%	—	8%	—	27%	64%	36%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	41%	17%	—	5%	—	37%	64%	35%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			52.5%	18.6%	10.7%	7.7%	4.7%	5.9%	66.4%	33.6%

Newcastle

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	38.2%	25.8%	19.8%	8.1%	5.3%	2.9%	61.2%	38.8%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	41.1%	26.7%	17.1%	8.4%	5.1%	1.6%	61.1%	38.9%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	43%	26%	19%	—	—	11%	63%	37%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	41%	28%	15%	—	—	15%	63%	37%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			44.1%	24.4%	20.1%	4.5%	—	6.9%	68%	32%

Page

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	ALP	IND	GRN	ONP	OTH	NAT	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	41.9%	20.7%	14.5%	9.7%	10.7%	2.5%	58.2%	41.8%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	43.1%	18.1%	16.2%	10.2%	10.1%	2.4%	59.4%	40.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	44%	22%	—	10%	—	24%	58%	42%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	42%	21%	—	9%	—	28%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			45.6%	18.7%	13.1%	8.5%	5.4%	8.7%	60.7%	39.3%

Parkes

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	NAT	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	46.5%	18.5%	16.2%	7%	6.4%	5.3%	64.3%	35.7%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	47.5%	19.4%	15.3%	7.1%	7.3%	3.5%	64.3%	35.7%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	43%	19%	—	5%	—	33%	67%	33%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	43%	18%	—	5%	—	33%	67%	33%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			49.3%	20.2%	7.5%	4.7%	2.5%	15.8%	67.8%	32.2%

Parramatta

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	35.8	37.3%	12.6%	5.1%	5.8%	3.5%	52.6%	47.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	34%	38.1%	12.5%	5.2%	8.1%	2.1%	51.3%	48.7%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	40%	36%	14%	—	—	10%	52%	48%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	40%	40%	9%	—	—	11%	52%	48%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			40.7%	35%	9%	2.4%	—	13%	54.6%	45.4%

Paterson

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
17–24 Apr 2025	YouGov^[14]	—	±6%	30.9%	25.9%	14.2%	11.5%	15.9%	1.6%^[j]	—	—
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	36%	37.2%	11.8%	9.3%	3.9%	1.9%	50.6%	49.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	31.3%	38.9%	14.1%	7.4%	6.8%	2.5%	46.4%	53.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	34%	45%	—	14%	—	7%	46%	54%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	32%	42%	—	9%	—	17%	46%	54%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			40.7%	36.7%	8.2%	7.6%	—	6.9%	53.3%	46.7%

Reid

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	34.3%	38.5%	12.9%	5.8%	5.7%	2.7%	51.3%	48.7%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	34.8%	38.3%	11.8%	8%	5.1%	1.8%	51.5%	48.5%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	40%	44%	7%	—	—	9%	50%	50%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	38%	39%	16%	—	—	7%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			41.6%	37.9%	9.4%	3.1%	2%	6%	55.2%	44.8%

Richmond

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	GRN	NAT	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	NAT	GRN
24 Apr 2025	KJC Research^[21]^[22]	600	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	34%	—	39%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	26.1%	19.4%	28.4%	9.4%	10.4%	6.3%	53.7%	46.3%	—
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	25.4%	22.7%	31.3%	9.2%	5.6%	5.7%	53.4%	46.6%	—
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	36%	21%	27%	—	—	17%	60%	40%	—
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	31%	18%	22%	—	—	29%	56%	44%	—
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			28.8%	25.3%	23.4%	5.6%	4.1%	12.9%	58.2%	41.8%	—

Riverina

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	NAT	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGo (MRP)v^[6]	10,217	—	42.6%	20.9%	16.8%	8.6%	6.2%	4.9%	60.8%	39.2%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	44.6%	21.6%	13.4%	8.5%	7.2%	4.7%	60.8%	39.2%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	40%	23%	—	10%	—	26%	58%	42%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	45%	26%	—	7%	—	22%	59%	41%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			46.6%	20.5%	8.2%	6.4%	—	15.6%	64.9%	35.2%

Robertson

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	38.4%	32.5%	11.8%	7.5%	7.1%	2.6%	50.1%	49.9%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	39.6%	32.2%	9.4%	9.1%	7.9%	1.9%	48.1%	51.9%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	45%	33%	10%	—	—	12%	47%	53%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	43%	33%	11%	—	—	13%	49%	51%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			40%	37.7%	10%	3.8%	—	8.5%	52.3%	47.7%

Shortland

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	34.6%	34%	12%	8.8%	7.4%	3.2%	53%	47%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	33.2%	35.8%	8.9%	10.8%	8.3%	3%	50%	50%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	41%	41%	7%	—	—	11%	51%	49%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	37%	37%	12%	—	—	15%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			40%	32.1%	9.9%	6.4%	2.6%	9.1%	55.8%	44.2%

Sydney

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	GRN	LIB	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	GRN
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	44.5%	23.9%	20.2%	4.9%	4.2%	2.4%	63.3%	36.7%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	46.3%	24.3%	19.5%	4.8%	3.8%	1.3%	62.6%	37.4%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	44%	23%	21%	—	—	12%	63%	37%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	52%	18%	23%	—	—	6%	70%	30%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			50.8%	23%	19.7%	1.8%	—	4.7%	66.7%	33.3%

Warringah

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	IND	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	OTH	IND	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	44.3%	28.1%	15.4%	8.4%	3.2%	0.6%	63.5%	36.5%
5–7 Mar 2025	Freshwater Strategy^[g]^[23]^[24]	830	—	33%	41%	7%	7%	—	12%	Win	Loss
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	40.9%	31.5%	15.5%	9.3%	2.4%	0.4%	59.6%	40.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	37%	31.9%	16.4%	11%	3.2%	0.6%	59.2%	40.8%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	—	36%	17%	7%	—	40%	55%	45%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	—	37%	17%	10%	—	36%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			44.8%	33.4%	8.4%	7.4%	2.1%	3.9%	61%	39%

Watson

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	39.8%	29.7%	12.6%	10.7%	3.8%	3.4%	57.3%	42.7%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	42.1%	28.1%	13.9%	7.4%	5.4%	3.1%	60.2%	39.8%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	41%	38%	11%	—	—	11%	54%	46%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	40%	30%	14%	—	—	17%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			51.9%	26.6%	9.6%	4.9%	—	7.2%	65.1%	34.9%

Wentworth

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2CP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	IND	ALP	GRN	ONP	OTH	IND	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	30.4%	32.7%	20.6%	11.5%	4.9%	—	58.4%	41.6%
18 Apr 2025 (released)	Compass Polling^[30]^[31]^[32]	627	—	47%	28%	15%	10%	—	—	—	—
9 Apr 2025 (released)	uComms^[k]^[33]^[34]	1,015	—	32.9%	32.5%	12.2%	—	—	—	58%	42%
5–7 Mar 2025	Freshwater Strategy^[g]^[23]^[24]	830	—	41%	33%	7%	7%	—	12%	Win	Loss
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	35%	29.3%	20.7%	12%	2.3%	0.6%	53.6%	46.4%
12 Feb 2025	uComms^[k]^[19]^[20]^[35]	1,068	—	35.0%	32.6%	14.7%	10.8%	—	—	—	—
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	34.4%	28.1%	20.7%	13.1%	3.2%	0.6%	55%	45%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	38%	—	17%	8%	—	37%	54%	46%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	40%	—	17%	9%	—	33%	55%	45%
5 Feb 2024	uComms^[h]^[25]	643	±3.85%	35.5%	32.1%	13.1%	10%	—	2.9%	57%	43.0%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			40.5%	35.8%	10.9%	8.3%	1%	3.6%	54.2%	45.8%

Werriwa

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	31.8%	26.5%	10.3%	10.6%	3.2%	17.6%	53.3%	46.7%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	30.7%	36.2%	11.1%	9%	4.6%	8.5%	49.4%	50.6%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	32.7%	37.6%	11%	9.1%	4.4%	5.2%	49.4%	50.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	37%	38%	8%	—	—	17%	51%	49%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	39%	35%	7%	—	—	19%	54%	46%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			39.9%	30.7%	6.7%	5.1%	—	17.7%	55.8%	44.2%

Whitlam

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	39.3%	26.5%	12.5%	8.8%	6.8%	6.2%	59.2%	40.8%
6 Apr 2025	Ben Britton disendorsed as Liberal candidate and replaced by Nathaniel Smith^[36]
3 Apr 2025	Nationals candidate Katrina Hodgkinson withdraws and endorses the Liberals^[37]
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	35%	33.2%	11.4%	11.3%	5.5%	3.6%	52.9%	47.1%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	33.8%	35%	10.2%	12.2%	5.8%	2.9%	50.6%	49.4%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	37%	33%	12%	—	—	17%	55%	45%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	36%	34%	15%	—	—	16%	54%	46%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			45%	28.2%	10.8%	6.9%	—	9.1%	60.1%	39.9%

Northern Territory

Lingiari

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	CLP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	CLP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	40.9%	27.2%	12.2%	13%	—	6.7%	58%	42%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	28%	26%	12%	—	—	35%	49%	51%
27 Feb - 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	35.2%	32.1%	14.2%	9.9%	6%	2.5%	54.6%	45.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	37.5%	28.7%	14.3%	10.3%	6.6%	2.7%	57.2%	42.8%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	33%	38%	9%	—	—	21%	46%	54%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	30%	36%	12%	—	—	22%	47%	53%
Feb – May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	30%	33%	8%	—	—	29%	50%	50%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			36.6%	34.7%	11.0%	5.4%	3.0%	9.4%	51.0%	49.0%

Solomon

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	CLP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	CLP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	36.6%	25.9%	20%	8%	2.2%	7.4%	59.7%	40.3%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	45%	27%	12%	—	—	16%	61%	39%
27 Feb - 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	34.2%	29.9%	15.1%	7.6%	5.1%	8.1%	55.7%	44.3%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	32.3%	32.8%	15.6%	8.9%	4.8%	5.6%	53%	47%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	45%	29%	14%	—	—	12%	61%	39%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	46%	26%	13%	—	—	25%	62%	38%
Feb – May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	38%	28%	14%	—	—	19%	61%	39%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			39.5%	25%	14.8%	5.4%	—	15.4%	59.4%	40.6%

Queensland

Blair

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LNP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LNP
24 Apr 2025	KJC Research^[21]^[22]	600	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	41%	46%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	31.6%	32.4%	12.5%	14.2%	4.2%	4%	51.6%	48.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	32.7%	32.9%	11.7%	15.8%	4.5%	2.5%	50.8%	49.2%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	34%	28%	15%	—	—	23%	56%	44%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	34%	30%	16%	—	—	19%	56%	44%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			35%	28.9%	12.6%	10%	—	13.5%	55.2%	44.8%

Bonner

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	41.7%	27.3%	15.6%	8.6%	5.2%	1.6%	53.6%	46.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	43.8%	28.3%	14.4%	7.3%	5.4%	0.9%	54.4%	45.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	47%	32%	12%	—	—	9%	55%	45%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	46%	27%	17%	—	—	10%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			44.8%	29.6%	16.8%	5.6%	—	3.3%	53.4%	46.6%

Bowman

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	42.1%	26%	12.4%	11%	4.9%	3.5%	55.8%	44.2%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	45.5%	25.1%	10.8%	10.7%	6.1%	1.9%	58.5%	41.5%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	52%	30%	11%	—	—	8%	59%	41%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	44%	27%	13%	—	—	16%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			42.4%	29.2%	13%	7.7%	—	7.6%	55.5%	44.5%

Brisbane

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2CP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	GRN	LNP	ALP
3 May 2025	2025 federal election									—
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	24.7%	32.3%	23.3%	7.6%	—	12.2%	52.7%	47.3%	—^[l]
Mid-Apr 2025	DemosAU^[m]^[38]	—	—	36%	29%	29%	—	—	—	—	—	—
17 Apr 2025 (released)	JWS Research^[n]^[39]^[40]	c. 800	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	49%	51%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	45%	21%	28%	—	—	6%	48%	53%	—
20 Mar 2025	uComms^[o]^[41]^[42]^[43]	1,184	—	32.1%	23.2%	24.2%	—	—	20.5%	52%	48%	—
—	44%	1,184	56%	32.1%	23.2%	24.2%			20.5%
16 Mar 2025 (released)	Insightfully^[p]^[44]^[45]^[46]	600	—	36.4%	29.5%	18.1%	—	9.7%	6.3%	47.0%	53.0%	—
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	35.4%	31.3%	25%	3.1%	2.9%	2.3%	—	44.9%	55.1%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8.732	—	35.7%	30%	23.7%	4.3%	4.4%	1.9%	—	46.3%	53.7%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4.909	—	37%	25%	31%	—	—	7%	55%	45%	—
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	39%	22%	29%	—	—	10%	52%	48%	—
Feb – May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	41%	29%	22%	—	—	8%	50%	50%	—
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			37.7%	27.3%	27.2%	2.2%	—	5.6%	53.7%	46.3%	—

Capricornia

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	39.3%	23.8%	21.2%	7.8%	5.1%	2.7%	58.9%	41.1%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	41.2%	25.6%	20.6%	6.2%	5.3%	1.1%	59.4%	40.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	45%	26%	—	5%	—	23%	60%	40%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	42%	27%	—	7%	—	24%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			39.4%	28.1%	14.6%	5.9%	3.4%	8.7%	56.6%	43.4%

Dawson

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	42.9%	21.6%	18.5%	8.4%	4.6%	3.9%	61.1%	38.9%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	45.3%	23.6%	18.3%	6.9%	3.8%	2.2%	61.9%	38.1%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	52%	24%	—	8%	—	16%	64%	36%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	45%	26%	—	8%	—	21%	60%	40%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			43.3%	24.5%	13.3%	7.2%	—	11.7%	60.4%	39.6%

Dickson

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
17–24 Apr 2025	YouGov^[14]^[47]	253	±6%	40.3%	24.2%	7.6%	5.4%	16.5%	6.0%^[q]	55%	45%
10 Apr 2025 (released)	Freshwater Strategy^[r]^[48]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	57%	43%
10 Apr 2025 (released)	uComms^[k]^[48]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	48.3%	51.7%
9–10 Apr 2025	uComms^[s]^[48]	854	—	37.6%	24.2%	10.9%	—	12.0%	4.6%	48%	52%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	39.7%	28.8%	12.7%	8.6%	7.8%	2.4%	52.5%	47.5%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	41.3%	28.2%	12.3%	8.8%	8.2%	1.2%	53.9%	46.1%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	48%	33%	6%	—	—	12%	56%	44%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	42%	30%	9%	—	—	19%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			42.1%	31.7%	13%	5.4%	3.9%	4%	51.7%	48.3%

Fadden

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	42.7%	23.2%	10.8%	14.3%	5.7%	3.3%	58.4%	41.6%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	47.2%	21.8%	10.6%	11.5%	6.6%	2.2%	61.1%	38.9%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	45%	25%	10%	—	—	19%	59%	41%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	43%	25%	11%	—	—	22%	58%	42%
15 Jul 2023	2023 by-election			49.1%	22.1%	6.2%	8.9%	2.7%	11.1%	63.4%	36.7%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			44.6%	22.4%	10.7%	8.7%	4.2%	9.5%	60.6%	39.4%

Fairfax

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	41.2%	22.2%	12.3%	12.9%	7.7%	3.7%	57.4%	42.6%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	45.3%	21.2%	12.8%	11.2%	7.3%	2.2%	59.8%	40.2%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	45%	22%	9%	—	—	24%	61%	39%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	42%	24%	9%	—	—	25%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			44.9%	21.9%	13.4%	6.6%	2.1%	11.2%	59%	41.1%

Fisher

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP	IND
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	41.6%	21.2%	13.1%	14.4%	6.4%	3.3%	58.2%	41.8%	—
Late Feb 2025	Climate 200^[12]	—	±3%	43%	—	—	—	—	—	Win	—	Loss
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	45.2%	23.3%	12%	12%	5.7%	1.9%	59.2%	40.8%	—
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	49%	25%	8%	—	—	17%	62%	38%	—
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	44%	25%	11%	—	—	20%	59%	41%	—
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			44.3%	23.3%	13.8%	9.3%	—	9.3%	58.7%	41.3%	—

Flynn

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	36.8%	25.7%	22.1%	6.2%	6.2%	3.1%	57%	43%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	38.2%	27.3%	19.2%	6.6%	6.6%	2.1%	56.5%	43.5%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	45%	32%	—	5%	—	18%	58%	42%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	40%	30%	—	9%	—	21%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			36.9%	33.5%	12.2%	4.3%	4.1%	9%	53.8%	46.2%

Forde

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	36.9%	25.1%	11.4%	14.2%	7.2%	5.2%	54.3%	45.7%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	38.9%	26%	13.3%	12%	6.3%	3.3%	54.8%	45.2%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	37%	26%	16%	—	—	21%	53%	47%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	35%	30%	15%	—	—	21%	51%	49%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			36.9%	28%	9.9%	8%	3.1%	14.1%	54.2%	45.8%

Griffith

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	GRN	LNP	ALP	ONP	IND	OTH	GRN	LNP	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	38%	25.6%	27.2%	5.5%	—	3.7%	52%	—	48%
Mid-Apr 2025	DemosAU^[m]^[38]	—	—	29%	36%	29%	—	—	—	—	—	—
17 Apr 2025 (released)	JWS Research^[n]^[39]^[40]	c. 800	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	49%	51%
47%	53%	c. 800	—
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	35%	31%	25%	—	—	9%	59%	41%	—
16 Mar 2025 (released)	Insightfully^[p]^[44]^[45]^[46]	600	—	31.3%	38.6%	22.6%	—	1.5%	5.9%	—	—	—
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	30.5%	29.8%	32.5%	4%	1.8%	1.4%	45.2%	—	54.8%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	30.7%	29.3%	31.9%	3.5%	3.6%	1%	47.1%	—	52.9%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	34%	29%	26%	—	—	10%	59%	41%	—
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	38%	31%	20%	—	—	11%	58%	42%	—
Feb – May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	29%	30%	30%	—	—	12	59%	41%	—
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			34.6%	30.7%	28.9%	3.3%	—	2.4%	60.5%	39.5%	—

Groom

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	IND	ONP	GRN	OTH	LNP	IND	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	43.6%	19.3%	12.1%	14.9%	8.4%	1.7%	61.2%	—	38.8%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	45.3%	18.2%	13.6%	14.4%	7.3%	1.2%	62.9%	—	37.1%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	46%	24%	—	—	7%	24%	55%	45%	—
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	44%	27%	—	—	5%	24%	53%	47%	—
Feb – May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	45%	20%	—	7%	—	28%	55%	45%	—
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			43.7%	18.7%	15.4%	9.6%	5.85%	6.7%	56.9%	43.1%	—

Herbert

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	45%	23.6%	10.3%	9%	6.8%	5.2%	58.6%	41.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	45.2%	21.1%	9.8%	11.8%	7.8%	4.3%	60.7%	39.3%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	49%	23%	9%	—	—	19%	62%	38%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	46%	27%	8%	—	—	19%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			47%	21.6%	8.2%	5.3%	4.3%	13.7%	61.8%	38.2%

Hinkler

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	IND	ONP	GRN	OTH	LNP	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	41.9%	22.9%	11%	15%	7.2%	2%	58.9%	41.1%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	43.2%	20.2%	15.8%	13.4%	6.1%	1.4%	60.7%	39.3%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	49%	29%	—	—	7%	15%	59%	41%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	44%	29%	—	—	6%	20%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			42.1%	23.3%	13.1%	8.7%	5.5%	7.3%	60.1%	39.9%

Kennedy

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote					2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	OTH	LNP	ALP	GRN	IND	KAP	LNP
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	48%	29%	17%	6%	—	62%	38%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	46.5%	27.5%	15.6%	7.8%	2.6%	65.2%	34.8%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	42.2%	33%	14.3%	7.7%	2.9%	60.7%	39.3%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	45%	27%	19%	8%	—	58%	42%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	40%	32%	22%	6%	—	60%	40%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			46.%	28.2%	16.1%	6.4%	3.2%	63.1%	36.9%

Leichhardt

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	37.1%	26.1%	12.5%	11.8%	5.3%	7.1%	53.3%	46.7%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	37.5%	27.5%	12.2%	13.5%	5.6%	3.6%	53.5%	46.5%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	41%	30%	9%	—	—	20%	54%	46%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	34%	31%	6%	—	—	29%	52%	48%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			36.7%	27.6%	10%	7.4%	—	18.3%	53.4%	46.6%

Lilley

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LNP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LNP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	38.4%	30.8%	16.4%	6.6%	5%	2.8%	57.9%	42.1%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	36.8%	32.6%	15.2%	7.5%	6%	1.9%	55.7%	44.3%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	44%	34%	17%	—	—	5%	60%	40%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	39%	31%	22%	—	—	8%	61%	39%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			41.8%	29.8%	17.1%	4.1%	—	7.2%	60.5%	39.5%

Longman

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	38.3%	27.6%	13.3%	9.5%	4.6%	6.7%	54.4%	45.6%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	39.9%	26.6%	14.6%	8.6%	6%	4.4%	56.3%	43.7%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	42%	31%	—	10%	—	16%	53%	47%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	40%	32%	—	9%	—	18%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			38.2%	31.5%	8.3%	7.2%	—	14.9%	53.1%	46.9%

Maranoa

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP	ONP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	48.6%	14.8%	24.8%	5.9%	3.5%	2.4%	67.7%	—	32.3%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	51.8%	16.9%	18.3%	5.9%	4.8%	2.2%	72%	—	28%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	54%	14%	—	4%	—	29%	73%	27%	—
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	52%	14%	—	4%	—	30%	72%	28%	—
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			56.3%	15.3%	11.9%	4.9%	—	11.7%	72.1%	27.9%	—

McPherson

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP	IND
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	41.5%	23%	13.4%	12%	5.6%	4.5%	56.8%	43.2%	—
Late Feb 2025	Climate 200^[12]	—	±3%	42%	—	—	—	—	—	Win	—	Loss
Between Mar–Dec 2024	Climate 200^[13]	—	—	42%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	44.9%	22.8%	14.1%	10.3%	5.3%	2.7%	58.4%	41.6%	—
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	48%	27%	7%	—	—	18%	61%	39%	—
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	43%	27%	10%	—	—	20%	58%	42%	—
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			43.6%	22%	15.4%	7.2%	—	11.8%	59.3%	40.7%	—

Moncrieff

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	43.2%	22.5%	11.9%	12.2%	4.9%	5.3%	58.5%	41.5%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	45.7%	22.6%	12.6%	10.7%	5.3%	3.1%	59.4%	40.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	48%	22%	11%	—	—	18%	61%	39%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	44%	27%	9%	—	—	20%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			45.9%	20.8%	12.1%	7.1%	—	14.1%	61.2%	38.8%

Moreton

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LNP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LNP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	35.5%	33.2%	19.1%	6.4%	3.5%	2.4%	56.1%	43.9%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	34.1%	35.1%	18.5%	5.6%	5.3%	1.4%	54.3%	45.7%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	44%	36%	16%	—	—	5%	59%	41%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	39%	35%	17%	—	—	9%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			37.4%	33.3%	20.8%	3.6%	—	4.9%	59.1%	40.9%

Oxley

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LNP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LNP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	39.9%	30.5%	14.3%	9.3%	3.8%	2.2%	57.7%	42.3%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	38.1%	31.5%	14.2%	9.1%	5.7%	1.5%	56.2%	43.8%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	40%	29%	17%	—	—	13%	59%	41%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	42%	32%	11%	—	—	14%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			45.9%	28.7%	14.3%	5.8%	—	5.3%	61.6%	38.4%

Petrie

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	40.7%	30%	12.3%	8.1%	4.9%	4.1%	52.7%	47.3%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	41.3%	28.6%	11.4%	10%	6.5%	2.1%	54.3%	45.7%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	47%	33%	9%	—	—	11%	55%	45%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	47%	31%	11%	—	—	11%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			43.5%	30%	11.4%	5.3%	—	9.8%	54.4%	45.6%

Rankin

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LNP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LNP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	36.3%	31.3%	12.9%	12.7%	3.6%	3.2%	54.5%	45.5%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	37%	31.6%	12.4%	12%	5%	2.1%	54.5%	45.5%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	42%	31%	16%	—	—	11%	59%	41%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	40%	31%	9%	—	—	20%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			44%	29%	10.7%	8%	—	8.4%	59.1%	40.9%

Ryan

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	GRN	ALP	ONP	IND	OTH	GRN	LNP	ALP
3 May 2025	2025 federal election											—
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	33.5%	32.3%	21.1%	5%	—	8%	52%	48%	—
Mid-Apr 2025	DemosAU^[m]^[38]	—	—	36%	29%	29%	—	—	—	—	—	—
17 Apr 2025 (released)	JWS Research^[n]^[39]^[40]	c. 800	—	45%	13%	—	—	—	—	—	57%	43%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	39%	33%	20%	—	—	8%	53%	47%	—
16 Mar 2025 (released)	Insightfully^[p]^[44]^[45]^[46]	600	—	39.6%	27.4%	21.9%	—	7.1%	3.9%	51.6%	48.3%	—
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	37%	27.1%	26.5%	3%	2.1%	4.4%	51.9%	48.1%	—
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	37.1%	26.1%	27.1%	3.9%	4.1%	1.8%	—	47.6%	52.4%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	37%	33%	21%	—	—	8%	54%	46%	—
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	41%	27%	20%	—	—	12%	49%	51%	—
Feb – May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	37%	26%	26%	—	—	11%	53%	47%	—
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			38.5%	30.2%	22.3%	2.3%	—	6.8%	52.7%	47.4%	—

Wide Bay

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	40.4%	20.4%	19.2%	9%	8.4%	2.6%	60.5%	39.5%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	43.8%	20.2%	13.6%	9.3%	11.2%	1.9%	60.6%	39.4%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	49%	24%	—	7%	—	20%	63%	37%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	43%	23%	—	10%	—	24%	60%	40%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			43.5%	21.3%	10.2%	9.5%	7.2%	8.4%	61.3%	38.7%

Wright

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP	ONP
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	41%	22%	—	8%	—	29%	61%	39%	—
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	41.4%	18.3%	23.3%	10.1%	3.4%	3.5%	66.1%	—	33.9%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	46.3%	20.7%	18%	9.6%	3.6%	1.8%	63.2%	36.8%	—
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	46%	21%	—	7%	—	26%	64%	36%	—
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	42%	19%	—	11%	—	28%	62%	38%	—
21 May 2022	Election			43.2%	21.4%	14.3%	11.4%	—	9.8%	60.9%	39.1%

South Australia

Adelaide

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	41.3%	26.6%	19.2%	5.2%	—	7.7%	61.9%	38.1%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	43%	29%	14%	—	—	14%	62%	38%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	38.1%	31.3%	18.3%	5.8%	4.1%	2.4%	58.1%	41.9%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	33.7%	32.8%	19.9%	5.7%	6.4%	1.6%	55.7%	44.3%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	46%	32%	14%	—	—	8%	53%	47%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	38%	32%	17%	—	—	13%	59%	41%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			40%	32%	20.1%	3%	—	4.9%	61.9%	38.1%

Barker

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote							2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	NAT	OTH	LIB	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	44.8%	21.4%	7.8%	11.5%	8.2%	—	6.3%	60.7%	39.3%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	50%	16%	8%	—	—	—	26%	67%	33%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	47.3%	22.6%	7.2%	13.5%	8.4%	—	1.1%	61.7%	38.3%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	49.5%	19.3%	8%	11.9%	9.9%	—	1.4%	64.1%	35.9%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	47%	15%	5%	—	—	—	33%	68%	32%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	50%	16%	10%	—	—	—	23%	67%	33%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			53.2%	20.9%	7.4%	6.6%	4.8%	2.4%	4.7%	66.6%	33.4%

Boothby

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	35%	32.8%	15.2%	—	6%	11%	51.9%	48.1%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	38%	38%	14%	—	—	10%	55%	45%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	36.1%	31.9%	15.8%	10%	4.5%	1.7%	52.7%	47.3%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	38%	28.9%	13.2%	13.2%	5.6%	1.2%	50.6%	49.4%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	41%	37%	14%	—	—	8%	53%	47%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	39%	36%	17%	—	—	7%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			38%	32.3%	15.2%	7.5%	2%	5%	53.3%	46.7%

Grey

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	IND	GRN	ONP	OTH	LIB	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	37.5%	17.7%	15.4%	9.4%	12.2%	7.8%	57.2%	42.8%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	46%	22%	—	8%	—	24%	60%	40%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	42.1%	22%	12.6%	7.7%	13.4%	2.2%	58.9%	41.1%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	42.9%	19.1%	15.1%	9.4%	10.6%	2.9%	59.6%	40.4%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	46%	20%	—	8%	—	26%	61%	39%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	44%	23%	—	8%	—	25%	59%	41%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			45.3%	21.4%	12.5%	6.8%	6.3%	7.7%	60.1%	39.9%

Hindmarsh

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	41%	27.3%	15.1%	7.1%	3.7%	5.9%	60.4%	39.6%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	41%	34%	14%	—	—	11%	58%	42%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	35.5%	34%	13.9%	8.4%	5.4%	2.8%	53.9%	46.1%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	34.3%	35.6%	13.2%	7.7%	7%	2.3%	52.4%	47.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	39%	37%	14%	—	—	10%	53%	47%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	41%	37%	10%	—	—	12%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			42.2%	32.7%	13.9%	3.9%	—	7.3%	59%	41.1%

Kingston

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	47.5%	22.6%	13%	10.7%	—	6.2%	64.2%	35.8%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	44%	28%	12%	—	—	16%	63%	37%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	40.4%	28.1%	13%	9.8%	6.7%	2.1%	58.9%	41.1%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	36.8%	28.8%	13%	10.4%	9.1%	2%	56.7%	43.3%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	44%	33%	12%	—	—	11%	60%	40%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	44%	29%	12%	—	—	15%	62%	38%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			49.2%	25.9%	12.4%	4.9%	2.71%	4.9%	66.4%	33.7%

Makin

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	44.4%	25.6%	13.2%	8.8%	—	7.9%	61.5%	38.5%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	42%	34%	11%	—	—	14%	57%	43%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	39%	33.1%	12%	9.3%	3.7%	3%	55.3%	44.7%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	36.1%	33.8%	11.4%	9.5%	7.1%	2%	53.4%	46.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	42%	33%	10%	—	—	15%	57%	43%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	39%	34%	15%	—	—	12%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			46.3%	31.4%	11.4%	4.7%	—	6.1%	60.8%	39.2%

Mayo

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2CP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	OTH	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	CA	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	44.2%	21.9%	15%	11.4%	7.5%	—	69.7%	30.3%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	37%	35%	19%	9%	—	—	55%	45%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	36.5%	28.8%	16.3%	12.7%	3.5%	2.1%	62.1%	37.9%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	31.5%	30.5%	17.2%	11.7%	7.2%	1.9%	53.4%	46.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	42%	29%	20%	9%	—	—	59%	41%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	37%	35%	20%	9%	—	—	59%	41%
Feb – May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	31%	29%	23%	17%	—	—	60%	40%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			39.4%	27%	18.1%	11.8%	4.1%	—	62.3%	37.7%

Spence

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	38.5%	21.1%	11.9%	16%	5.8%	6.6%	59.9%	40.1%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	37%	22%	12%	—	—	29%	62%	38%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	38%	28.6%	12.5%	15.5%	3%	2.4%	56.1%	43.9%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	36.6%	28.4%	12.3%	16.4%	4.5%	1.8%	55.1%	44.9%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	36%	29%	16%	—	—	19%	59%	41%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	35%	26%	12%	—	—	28%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			43.9%	25.6%	11.4%	10.9%	—	8.4%	62.9%	37.1%

Sturt

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	37.7%	31.9%	14%	5.7%	4.8%	5.9%	49.3%	50.7%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	39%	39%	12%	—	—	10%	45%	55%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	40.3%	29.5%	15.2%	6.4%	5.5%	3.1%	51.5%	48.5%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	42.7%	28.6%	14.7%	5.2%	7.2%	1.6%	59.6%	40.4%
Between Mar – Dec 2024	Climate 200^[13]	—	—	36%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	42%	33%	14%	—	—	11%	50%	50%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	41%	30%	11%	—	—	18%	52%	48%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			43.1%	30.7%	16.4%	2.6%	—	7.2%	50.5%	49.6%

Tasmania

Bass

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	LIB	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	32.6%	25.2%	10.7%	10.3%	14.8%	6.5%	52.2%	47.8%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	33%	30%	11%	—	—	25%	47%	53%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	36.2%	26.6%	13.3%	11%	9.9%	3.1%	51.6%	48.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	36.8%	27.8%	12.3%	9.9%	11.2%	11.9%	52.1%	47.9%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	44%	27%	12%	—	—	17%	54%	46%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	40%	25%	13%	—	—	22%	52%	48%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			39.7%	28.6%	11.1%	5%	4.7%	10.8%	51.4%	48.6%

Braddon

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	IND	GRN	ONP	OTH	LIB	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	30.5%	33%	16.9%	9.5%	5%	5.1%	57%	43%
17–24 Apr 2025	YouGov^[14]^[49]	419	±6%	30.6%	33.2%	15.7%	9.7%	4.6%	6.2%^[t]	—	—
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	42%	26%	—	10%	—	22%	54%	46%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	40.7%	25.3%	10.5%	9.3%	9.7%	4.5%	55.7%	44.3%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	41.6%	22.1%	12.9%	8.9%	11.1%	16.3%	58.1%	41.9%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	46%	22%	—	7%	—	25%	59%	41%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	43%	21%	—	10%	—	25%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			44.1%	22.5%	7.8%	6.7%	4.3%	14.5%	58%	42%

Clark

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2CP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	IND	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	OTH	IND	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	55.5%	18.7%	13.6%	8.7%	3.5%	—	71.9%	28.1%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	—	23%	14%	11%	—	51%	67%	33%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	43.5%	21.2%	16.5%	14.4%	4%	0.3%	64.8%	35.2%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	40.1%	22.8%	17.9%	15.4%	3.3%	0.4%	56%	44%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	—	27%	10%	13%	—	51%	68%	32%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	—	18%	22%	13%	—	47%	72%	28%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			45.5%	18.8%	15.9%	13.5%	2.6%	3.8%	70.8%	29.2%

Franklin

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	31.9%	25.5%	16.8%	6.9%	18.9%	—	58.6%	41.4%
16 Apr 2025	Greens candidate Owen Fitzgerald withdraws after discovering dual citizenship^[50]
9–10 Apr 2025	EMRS^[51]^[52]	430	±4.71%	38%	19%	13%	—	20%^[u]	—	—	—
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	42%	28%	13%	—	—	17%	64%	36%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	33.6%	29.2%	18.1%	6%	6.5%	6.7%	57.1%	42.9%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	36.1%	30.7%	14.5%	8.2%	6.4%	4.1%	56%	44%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	41%	31%	18%	—	—	9%	63%	37%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	36%	29%	13%	—	—	22%	61%	39%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			36.7%	26.7%	17.4%	2.9%	—	16.4%	63.7%	36.3%

Lyons

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	27.8%	33.4%	13%	4.4%	9.3%	12.1%	47.7%	52.3%
17–24 Apr 2025	YouGov^[14]^[49]^[53]	446	±6%	27.8%	33.4%	13.0%	4.4%	9.3%	12.1%^[v]	56%	44%
10 Apr 2025 (released)	uComms^[e]^[54]^[55]	712	—	29.5%	27.2%	14.6%	4.1%	—	5.8%^[w]	50.9%	49.1%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	37%	31%	11%	—	—	21%	52%	48%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	37.7%	28%	11.7%	10%	6.8%	5.9%	47.5%	52.5%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	38.1%	26.5%	10.8%	12.5%	6.8%	5.3%	45.6%	54.4%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	42%	26%	9%	—	—	24%	46%	54%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	41%	25%	9%	—	—	24%	46%	54%
Feb – May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	37%	28%	13%	—	—	23%	50%	50%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			37.2%	29%	11.4%	5.4%	—	17%	50.9%	49.1%

Victoria

Aston

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	39.6%	29.8%	11.4%	6.5%	6.8%	5.8%	52%	48%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	42%	32%	13%	—	—	12%	52%	48%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	40.7%	28.2%	13.8%	6.2%	6.5%	4.6%	52.7%	47.3%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	42.5%	29%	12.8%	7%	6.8%	1.9%	53.7%	46.3%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	47%	33%	11%	—	—	9%	54%	46%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	47%	30%	11%	—	—	11%	56%	44%
1 Apr 2023	2023 by-election			39.1%	40.9%	10.1%	—	7.0%	2.9%	46.4%	53.6%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			43.1%	32.6%	12.1%	3.1%	—	9.2%	52.8%	47.2%

Ballarat

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	43.2%	26%	13.2%	8.4%	5.2%	3.9%	61.6%	38.4%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	38%	36%	12%	—	—	14%	54%	46%
17–24 Apr 2025	YouGov^[14]	217	±6%	38.5%	23.8%	17.7%	9.8%	6.1%	4.1%	62%	38%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	38.4%	28.2%	14.6%	9.9%	6.4%	2.6%	58.3%	41.7%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	35%	29.2%	15.5%	9.3%	8.2%	2.8%	56.4%	43.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	44%	35%	7%	—	—	13%	56%	44%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	37%	33%	17%	—	—	12%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			44.7%	27.1%	14.6%	3.6%	2.1%	7.9%	63%	37%

Bendigo

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	39.8%	24.5%	14.8%	9.5%	5.8%	5.6%	60.9%	39.1%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	38%	30%	12%	—	—	20%	56%	44%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	36.5%	28.5%	13.5%	10.1%	9.5%	2%	57.1%	42.9%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	34.3%	30.1%	13.2%	10.5%	9.3%	2.6%	54.8%	45.2%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	40%	34%	12%	—	—	14%	57%	43%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	37%	33%	12%	—	—	18%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			43%	26.6%	14.1%	5.5%	4.3%	6.5%	62.1%	37.9%

Bruce

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	37.9%	29.6%	11.1%	10.6%	—	10.8%	55.2%	44.8%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	37%	41%	11%	—	—	11%	51%	49%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	34.1%	34.5%	12.8%	9%	4.3%	5.4%	52.4%	47.6%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	34.1%	35.2%	11.9%	8.9%	5.4%	4.6%	51.7%	48.3%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	39%	38%	10%	—	—	12%	52%	48%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	38%	38%	10%	—	—	14%	51%	49%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			41.5%	30.3%	9.7%	4.8%	—	13.8%	56.6%	43.4%

Calwell

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	37.2%	22.1%	12%	12%	2.5%	14.2%	58.5%	41.5%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	38%	29%	11%	—	—	21%	57%	43%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	34.6%	28.6%	14.5%	12.6%	3.7%	6%	55.4%	44.6%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	37.7%	27.2%	15.1%	11.2%	3.8%	5.1%	57.9%	42.1%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	40%	31%	12%	—	—	17%	57%	43%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	37%	28%	16%	—	—	19%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			44.9%	23.7%	9.7%	7%	—	14.7%	62.4%	37.6%

Casey

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	LIB	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	35.3%	22%	14%	12%	8.1%	8.6%	52.7%	47.3%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	37%	29%	10%	—	—	24%	51%	49%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	35.2%	22%	13.7%	15.5%	9.1%	4.6%	52.6%	47.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	39.2%	22.7%	14.9%	12.5%	7.6%	3.2%	54.2%	45.8%
Between Mar – Dec 2024	Climate 200^[13]	—	—	38%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	39%	28%	14%	—	—	19%	51%	49%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	38%	28%	16%	—	—	18%	49%	51%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			36.5%	24.9%	12.9%	8.3%	3.3%	14.1%	51.5%	48.5%

Chisholm

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	32.6%	35%	16.4%	4.8%	5.6%	5.6%	53.1%	46.9%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	32%	47%	12%	—	—	9%	47%	53%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	30.9%	38.3%	14.8%	8.7%	4.1%	3.2%	50.7%	49.3%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	29.9%	41.8%	13.4%	8.8%	4%	2.1%	48%	52%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	33%	41%	13%	—	—	12%	50%	50%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	36%	43%	9%	—	—	12%	49%	51%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			40.1%	36.3%	12.6%	2.4%	1.4%	7.2%	56.4%	43.6%

Cooper

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	GRN	LIB	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	GRN
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	41.4%	26%	18%	6.1%	—	8.5%	60.2%	39.8%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	45%	21%	20%	—	—	14%	65%	35%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	34.4%	27.7%	20.8%	5.8%	5.9%	5.5%	56%	44%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	39.2%	26.9%	21.8%	4.8%	4.6%	2.7%	57.7%	42.3%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	43%	25%	23%	—	—	9%	62%	38%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	40%	29%	20%	—	—	11%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			41.3%	27.4%	16.4%	3%	—	12%	58.7%	41.3%

Corangamite

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	38.1%	30.2%	14.3%	5.9%	5%	6.5%	57.5%	42.5%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	35%	40%	14%	—	—	11%	53%	47%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	35.5%	34%	15.9%	6%	5.3%	3.3%	54.9%	45.1%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	34.2%	35.7%	13.4%	7.5%	6.6%	2.6%	52.4%	47.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	34%	38%	10%	—	—	18%	51%	49%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	33%	38%	15%	—	—	14%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			38.2%	34.1%	15.2%	2.5%	—	9.9%	57.6%	42.4%

Corio

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	38.2%	25.4%	17.8%	9.7%	3.2%	5.7%	60.2%	39.8%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	42%	26%	14%	—	—	17%	62%	38%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	35.1%	28.2%	16%	7.5%	7.6%	5.7%	57.5%	42.5%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	36.9%	29.2%	14.5%	9.2%	6.2%	4.1%	56.9%	43.1%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	43%	23%	25%	—	—	9%	57%	43%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	40%	29%	9%	—	—	22%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			42.1%	24.6%	14.9%	3.9%	—	14.5%	62.8%	37.2%

Deakin

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	37.9%	32.5%	11.5%	5.3%	8.9%	3.9%	49.3%	50.7%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	43%	33%	11%	—	—	13%	52%	48%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	38.3%	29.3%	15.7%	4.9%	8.1%	3.6%	50%	50%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	40.5%	30.3%	13.8%	5.8%	8%	1.7%	51.5%	48.5%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	45%	33%	10%	—	—	11%	53%	47%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	46%	31%	14%	—	—	9%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			41.5%	32.8%	13.9%	2.3%	1.3%	8.3%	50.2%	49.8%

Dunkley

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	39.2%	29.6%	12.9%	4%	7.8%	6.5%	57.5%	42.5%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	36%	34%	12%	—	—	19%	54%	46%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	32.9%	32.7%	13.6%	8.2%	7.4%	5.2%	53.6%	46.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	35.1%	32.1%	11.9%	6.5%	10.1%	4.2%	53.6%	46.4%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	37%	37%	10%	—	—	15%	52%	48%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	38%	36%	9%	—	—	18%	53%	47%
2 Mar 2024	2024 by-election			41.1%	39.2%	6.4%	4.7%	—	8.6%	52.7%	47.3%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			40.2%	32.5%	10.3%	3.9%	2.8%	10.3%	56.3%	43.7%

Flinders

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	IND	GRN	ONP	OTH	LIB	ALP	IND
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	38.1%	20.5%	19.1%	8.6%	7.1%	6.6%	54.9%	45.1%	—
21 Apr 2025	Trumpet of Patriots candidate Jason Smart withdraws and endorses One Nation^[56]
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	43%	24%	—	8%	—	24%	55%	45%	—
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	40.4%	22.2%	14.5%	11.4%	8.3%	3.3%	55.8%	44.2%	—
Late Feb 2025	Climate 200^[12]	—	±3%	38%	—	—	—	—	—	51%	—	49%
Between Mar – Dec 2024	Climate 200^[13]	—	—	40%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	43.2%	21.6%	15.3%	10.2%	7%	2.8%	57.7%	42.3%	—
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	48%	25%	—	8%	—	19%	58%	42%	—
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	46%	26%	—	9%	—	19%	56%	44%	—
Feb – May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	41%	24%	—	10%	—	25%	58%	42%	—
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			43.5%	21.7%	12.5%	9.4%	3.4%	9.5%	56.7%	43.3%	—

Fraser

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	41.1%	20.8%	17.8%	8.2%	—	12%	63.3%	36.7%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	41%	24%	15%	—	—	19%	65%	35%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	38%	27.2%	19.8%	5.9%	4.3%	4.8%	60.6%	39.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	39.2%	27%	19.7%	5.5%	5.6%	3%	61.3%	38.7%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	37%	28%	23%	—	—	12%	64%	36%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	36%	26%	22%	—	—	16%	64%	36%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			42.1%	24.7%	18.5%	2.9%	—	11.8%	66.5%	33.5%

Gellibrand

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	46.6%	26%	12.7%	8.8%	—	5.9%	62.3%	37.7%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	40%	31%	17%	—	—	12%	58%	42%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	36.9%	29.9%	16.4%	7.3%	5.1%	4.5%	57.6%	42.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	37.4%	30.3%	17.4%	6.9%	5%	3%	57.8%	42.2%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	38%	31%	11%	—	—	20%	55%	45%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	42%	34%	13%	—	—	11%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			42.7%	27%	16.5%	3%	—	10.7%	61.5%	38.5%

Gippsland

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	NAT	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	45.5%	24.2%	13.9%	7%	—	9.4%	61.5%	38.5%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	38%	16%	—	6%	—	40%	71%	29%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	48.7%	21.5%	12.5%	9.8%	4.9%	2.4%	62.4%	37.6%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	49.2%	20.8%	14.6%	7.8%	6.4%	1.2%	64.1%	35.9%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	45%	14%	—	7%	—	34%	74%	26%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	48%	13%	—	7%	—	33%	76%	24%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			54.1%	19.2%	9.4%	8.5%	—	8.8%	70.6%	29.4%

Goldstein

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2CP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	IND	ALP	GRN	ONP	OTH	IND	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	29.4%	47.5%	12.3%	7.2%	2.9%	0.8%	63.5%	36.5%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	37%	—	12%	6%	—	45%	51%	49%
18–25 Mar 2025	uComms^[k]^[57]^[58]^[59]	1,225	—	—	—	—	—	3.9%	—	54%	46%
12–13 Mar 2025	JWS Research^[n]^[60]^[61]^[62]	800	—	44%	24%	21%	5%	—	6%	46%	54%
5–7 Mar 2025	Freshwater Strategy^[g]^[23]^[24]	830	—	41%	33%	7%	7%	—	12%	Loss	Win
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	36.1%	34.6%	16.8%	9.8%	2.1%	0.5%	54.5%	45.5%
12–25 Feb 2025	uComms^[57]	979	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	52%	48%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	36.8%	32.6%	17%	9.7%	3.1%	0.7%	54.3%	45.7%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	44%	—	11%	7%	—	37%	52%	48%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	49%	—	17%	6%	—	29%	47%	53%
Feb–May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	38%	—	14%	9%	—	38%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			40.4%	34.5%	11%	7.8%	1.3%	5%	52.9%	47.1%

Gorton

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	37.8%	27.8%	12.5%	11.8%	—	10.2%	56.2%	43.8%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	42%	29%	16%	—	—	13%	62%	38%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	33.4%	33.4%	11.4%	10.2%	6.1%	5.5%	52.2%	47.8%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	34.6%	35.8%	11.5%	9.7%	5.8%	2.7%	51.5%	48.5%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	40%	33%	10%	—	—	17%	57%	43%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	41%	34%	9%	—	—	16%	56%	44%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			41.3%	27.4%	9%	7.3%	2.5%	12.5%	60%	40%

Hawke

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	36.4%	29.8%	11.5%	—	12.7%	9.5%	54.1%	45.9%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	31%	39%	13%	—	—	18%	50%	50%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	30.2%	31.1%	11.7%	10.5%	12.3%	4.2%	51.9%	48.1%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	30.8%	32.2%	11.8%	9.1%	12.6%	3.5%	51.2%	48.8%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	31%	36%	8%	—	—	24%	50%	50%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	39%	31%	11%	—	—	18%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			36.7%	26.3%	8.9%	7.9%	5.6%	14.5%	57.6%	42.4%

Holt

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	38.1%	30.2%	12.2%	12.1%	—	7.4%	55.1%	44.9%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	36%	38%	13%	—	—	13%	52%	48%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	33.6%	32%	13.4%	11.5%	5.1%	4.4%	53.3%	46.7%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	35.8%	31.1%	12.4%	10.8%	5.7%	4.3%	54.4%	45.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	35%	37%	14%	—	—	14%	52%	48%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	36%	33%	14%	—	—	17%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			40.9%	29.6%	8.5%	4.8%	3%	13.2%	57.1%	42.9%

Hotham

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	46.5%	24.7%	13.9%	6.3%	—	8.6%	63.6%	36.4%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	43%	33%	14%	—	—	10%	60%	40%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	36.4%	31.7%	16.5%	5.5%	5.4%	4.6%	56.7%	43.3%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	37.4%	32.7%	15%	5.5%	6.4%	3%	56.2%	43.8%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	42%	35%	14%	—	—	8%	59%	41%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	43%	36%	12%	—	—	9%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			47%	25.2%	12.4%	2.9%	—	12.4%	64.3%	35.8%

Indi

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote							2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	IND	LIB	ALP	ONP	NAT	GRN	OTH	IND	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	53.2%	26.2%	8.2%	6.7%	—	4.5%	1.2%	66.1%	33.9%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	—	33%	10%	—	—	4%	53%	59%	41%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	42.5%	32.5%	11.5%	6.8%	—	6.3%	0.5%	58.6%	41.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	37.4%	34.7%	12.7%	6.5%	—	7.9%	0.7%	56.2%	43.8%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	—	37%	8%	—	—	3%	52%	61%	39%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	—	32%	9%	—	—	5%	54%	65%	35%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			40.7%	30.5%	8.6%	5.3%	3.8%	3.6%	7.6%	58.9%	41.1%

Isaacs

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	42.7%	27.9%	14%	7.3%	—	8.1%	60%	40%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	43%	33%	11%	—	—	13%	58%	42%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	36.5%	31.6%	14.5%	6%	6.2%	5.2%	56.3%	43.7%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	37.7%	33.1%	13.1%	7.1%	6.1%	2.9%	55.3%	44.7%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	43%	38%	11%	—	—	8%	56%	44%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	40%	34%	10%	—	—	15%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			40%	31.9%	12.9%	3.2%	—	12.1%	56.9%	43.2%

Jagajaga

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	38.8%	27.2%	17.6%	6.6%	5.4%	4.3%	60.8%	39.2%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	43%	32%	13%	—	—	12%	61%	39%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	37%	30.2%	16.9%	7.7%	4.8%	3.4%	58.2:%	41.8%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	36.1%	32%	15.2%	8%	5.2%	3.6%	56.2%	43.8%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	41%	37%	12%	—	—	10%	56%	44%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	40%	35%	16%	—	—	9%	59%	41%
Feb – May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	39%	33%	18%	—	—	10%	61%	39%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			40.9%	29.2%	16.7%	3.1%	2.3%	7.9%	62.4%	37.7%

Kooyong

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2CP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	IND	ALP	GRN	ONP	OTH	IND	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	32.8%	43.3%	12.7%	8.1%	2.4%	0.7%	60.1%	39.9%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	40%	—	12%	9%	—	38%	48%	52%
12–13 March 2025	JWS Research^[n]^[60]^[61]^[62]	800	—	40%	32%	11%	9%	—	8%	51%	49%
5–7 Mar 2025	Freshwater Strategy^[g]^[23]^[24]	830	—	41%	33%	7%	7%	—	12%	Loss	Win
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	39%	30.1%	16.9%	11.6%	2.1%	0.4%	51.2%	48.8%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	38.7%	29.4%	16.5%	12.2%	2.7%	0.4%	52.4%	47.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	42%	—	11%	9%	—	37%	53%	47%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	43%	—	12%	4%	—	41%	53%	47%
Feb – May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	39%	—	10%	7%	—	43%	52%	48%
5 Feb 2024	uComms^[h]^[25]	647	±3.9%	36.8%	32.5%	12.1%	6.8%	—	2%	56%	44%
Mid-Aug 2023	KJC Research^[63]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	46.5%	53.5%
24–25 Jul 2023	uComms^[h]^[64]^[65]	821	±3.4%	40.3%	31.6%	12.4%	5.6%	—	2.9%	51%	49%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			42.7%	40.3%	6.9%	6.3%	0.7%	3.1%	52.9%	47.1%

La Trobe

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	42.9%	28.2%	10.8%	10.3%	—	7.8%	56.3%	43.7%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	45%	26%	11%	—	—	18%	58%	42%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	41.8%	25.5%	13.1%	9.8%	5.4%	4.4%	55.5%	44.5%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	42.1%	26.8%	12.8%	11.1%	4.5%	2.7%	55.6%	44.4%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	42%	24%	9%	—	—	25%	60%	40%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	45%	24%	7%	—	—	24%	61%	39%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			45.6%	26.1%	10.9%	5%	—	12.5%	58.7%	41.3%

Lalor

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	40.2%	26%	13.6%	9.7%	2.6%	8%	59.5%	40.5%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	35%	33%	12%	—	—	20%	55%	45%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	34.3%	29.4%	14.5%	9.5%	7%	5.3%	55.8%	44.2%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	37.1%	29.1%	13.8%	9.3%	6.3%	4.4%	56.9%	43.1%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	40%	32%	13%	—	—	14%	58%	42%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	42%	31%	13%	—	—	13%	60%	40%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			44.1%	25%	10.4%	3.9%	2.9%	13.7%	62.8%	37.2%

Macnamara

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	GRN	LIB	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	31.1%	26.7%	27.4%	4.7%	5%	5.1%	58%	42%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	35%	20%	32%	—	—	12%	58%	42%
16 Mar 2025 (released)	Insightfully^[p]^[44]^[45]^[66]	600	—	25.9%	27.9%	37.6%	—	—	—	—	—
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	33.9%	25.4%	28.1%	5.6%	4.4%	2.7%	60%	40%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	31.6%	29.7%	27.6%	5.8%	3.2%	2.1%	58.3%	41.7%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	35%	35%	21%	—	—	9%	58%	42%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	36%	32%	22%	—	—	10%	60%	40%
13–20 Jun 2024	RedBridge^[67]	401	±5.9%	30%	21%	36%	—	—	13%	55%	45%
Feb – May 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[11]	4,040	—	33%	24%	34%	—	—	9%	59%	41%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			31.8%	29.7%	29%	2%	1.5%	6.2%	62.3%	37.8%

Mallee

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	ALP	IND	ONP	GRN	OTH	NAT	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	46.6%	19%	—	16%	7.8%	10.5%	64.6%	35.4%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	44%	19%	—	—	6%	30%	65%	35%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	44.7%	18.1%	13.5%	14.5%	6.7%	2.5%	62.7%	37.3%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	47.3%	15.4%	14.8%	12.8%	7.7%	2.1%	64.2%	35.8%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	46%	18%	—	—	6%	30%	67%	33%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	45%	16%	—	—	6%	33%	67%	33%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			49.1%	16.8%	12.2%	6.8%	5.3%	9.9%	69%	31%

Maribyrnong

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	47.3%	28.1%	16.9%	7.6%	—	—	63.5%	36.5%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	43%	28%	17%	—	—	12%	63%	37%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	36.2%	30.5%	16.7%	5%	5.8%	5.8%	57.4%	42.6%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	36.6%	31.9%	16.4%	5.7%	6.2%	3.3%	56.6%	43.4%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	39%	30%	14%	—	—	18%	58%	42%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	44%	33%	13%	—	—	10%	60%	40%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			42.4%	27.1%	16.3%	2.4%	—	11.9%	62.5%	37.6%

McEwen

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	32.5%	30%	14.8%	11.3%	—	11.4%	53.2%	46.8%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	34%	36%	13%	—	—	17%	50%	50%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	30.6%	35%	13.8%	11.1%	5.5%	3.9%	50.5%	49.5%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	31.8%	37.3%	13.4%	10.2%	4.7%	2.6%	49.7%	50.3%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	32%	40%	16%	—	—	13%	49%	51%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	34%	39%	13%	—	—	14%	49%	51%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			36.8%	33.2%	14.1%	5.6%	—	10.2%	53.3%	46.7%

Melbourne

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	GRN	ALP	LIB	IND	ONP	OTH	GRN	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	43.1%	28.2%	15.6%	6.4%	4.2%	2.5%	56.1%	43.9%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	43%	22%	21%	—	—	14%	57%	43%
16 Mar 2025 (released)	Insightfully^[p]^[44]^[45]^[46]	600	—	50.1%	19.2%	21.6%	—	—	9.1%	—	—
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	41.3%	30.9%	19.4%	2.8%	2.1%	3.5%	52.7%	47.3%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	42.2%	29.8%	18.8%	4%	2.7%	2.5%	55%	45%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	27%	21%	44%	—	—	7%	55%	45%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	44%	22%	22%	—	—	12%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			49.6%	25%	15.2%	1.1%	1%	8.1%	60.2%	39.9%

Menzies

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	36.3%	30.5%	12.7%	5.1%	5.6%	9.7%	49.7%	50.3%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	47%	33%	12%	—	—	7%	53%	47%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	40.4%	27.6%	14%	4.9%	6.6%	6.5%	52.6%	47.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	43.8%	27.5%	13.3%	4.6%	7.4%	3.3%	54.5%	45.5%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	47%	31%	15%	—	—	6%	53%	47%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	46%	33%	12%	—	—	9%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			42.1%	33.3%	14.1%	2.3%	—	8.2%	50.7%	49.3%

Monash

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	IND	GRN	ONP	OTH	LIB	ALP	IND
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	29.4%	20.1%	24.9%	7.8%	9.6%	8.1%	45.9%	—	54.1%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	32%	20%	—	6%	—	42%	48%	—	52%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	36.4%	22.3%	12.6%	10.9%	15.5%	2.4%	55.3%	44.7%	—
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	39.1%	22.3%	14.2%	10.9%	11.8%	1.7%	56%	44%	—
Between Mar–Dec 2024	Climate 200^[13]	—	—	26%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	44%	26%	—	8%	—	22%	57%	43%	—
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	39%	25%	—	9%	—	28%	54%	46%	—
14 Nov 2023	Russell Broadbent resigns from the Liberal Party to sit as an independent^[68]
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			37.8%	25.6%	10.7%	9.9%	7.5%	8.5%	52.9%	47.1%	—

Nicholls

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote							2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	IND	LIB	ALP	ONP	GRN	OTH	NAT	IND	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	53.1%	—	—	21%	14%	7.6%	4.3%	66.4%	—	33.6%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	42%	—	—	19%	—	6%	33%	55%	45%	—
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	41.9%	22.7%	—	15.7%	12.3%	6.2%	1.3%	55.2%	44.8%	—
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	42.6%	23.1%	—	14.4%	12.2%	6.4%	1.2%	55.4%	44.6%	—
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	44%	—	—	18%	—	5%	33%	53%	47%	—
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	44%	—	—	23%	—	5%	28%	54%	46%	—
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			26.1%	25.5%	18.1%	11.5%	6.5%	3.2%	9%	53.8%	46.2%	—

Scullin

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	41.7%	20.8%	14%	11.3%	—	12.2%	62.1%	37.9%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	46%	25%	13%	—	—	17%	65%	35%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	36.4%	28.8%	13.4%	9.9%	4.1%	7.4%	56.4%	43.6%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	35.8%	29.7%	14.8%	9.2%	5%	5.6%	56.1%	43.9%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	44%	31%	13%	—	—	11%	61%	39%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	42%	27%	9%	—	—	22%	59%	41%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			46.3%	21.7%	10.9%	6.5%	—	14.6%	65.6%	34.4%

Wannon

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2CP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	IND	ALP	GRN	ONP	OTH	LIB	IND
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	29.7%	46.1%	12%	4.5%	5.3%	2.4%	38.1%	61.9%
17–24 Apr 2025	YouGov^[14]^[15]	—	±6%	33.2%	35.7%	12.2%	5.2%	6.9%	6.8%^[x]	43%	57%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	45%	—	22%	7%	—	27%	54%	46%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	37.7%	28.7%	18.6%	7.4%	7.1%	0.6%	49.4%	50.6%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	41.4%	25.3%	18%	8%	6.6%	0.8%	52.1%	47.9%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	48%	—	24%	6%	—	21%	55%	45%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	44%	—	24%	7%	—	26%	51%	49%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			44.5%	19.3%	19.1%	6.4%	3.2%	7.5%	53.9%	46.1%

Wills

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	GRN	LIB	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	GRN
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	36.5%	29.8%	17.2%	5.2%	—	11.2%	55.5%	44.5%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	47%	22%	22%	—	—	9%	66%	33%
16 Mar 2025 (released)	Insightfully^[p]^[44]^[45]^[46]	600	—	—	33.1%	—	—	—	—	53.7%	46.3%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	32.9%	29.9%	20.7%	4.7%	4.9%	7%	53.9%	46.1%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	35%	30.8%	22.7%	4.1%	3.7%	3.7%	53.8%	46.2%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	41%	21%	25%	—	—	12%	62%	38%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	44%	22%	22%	—	—	12%	65%	35%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			38.9%	28.3%	17.3%	2.8%	—	12.8%	58.6%	41.4%

Western Australia

Brand

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	46.9%	20.4%	16%	10.7%	—	6%	65.9%	34.1%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	42%	26%	15%	—	—	17%	62%	38%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	43.8%	25.7%	12.2%	9.5%	4%	4.9%	61.4%	38.6%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	39.1%	26.7%	12.6%	11.5%	6.1%	4%	58.3%	41.7%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	48%	30%	9%	—	—	14%	61%	39%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	44%	26%	18%	—	—	12%	64%	36%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			50.2%	22%	11.4%	5.4%	—	11%	66.7%	33.3%

Bullwinkel

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote							2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	NAT	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	34.9%	32.2%	15.5%	9%	—	—	8.3%	54.1%	45.9%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	33%	40%	12%	—	—	—	15%	50%	50%
17–24 Apr 2025	YouGov	—	—	32%	32%	—	—	8%	—	28%	—	—
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	33.7%	34.8%	11.9%	9.1%	—	6.8%	3.6%	52%	48%
11–12 Feb 2025	JWS Research^[n]^[19]^[20]^[69]	c. 830	—	15%	41%	—	—	22%	—	—	—	—
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	30.5%	37.2%	12.2%	9.1%	—	8.1%	2.9%	49.2%	50.8%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	32%	40%	8%	—	—	—	20%	47%	53%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	34%	38%	11%	—	—	—	18%	50%	50%
21 Aug 2024 (released)	Unnamed^[y]^[70]	800	—	23%	12%	10%	—	20%	10%	—	—	—
31 May 2024	Creation of the Division of Bullwinkel announced^[71]

Burt

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	45.5%	21.5%	11.3%	10.9%	1.9%	8.9%	63.3%	36.7%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	48%	26%	15%	—	—	10%	64%	36%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	39.5%	28%	12.1%	11%	4.6%	4.8%	57.9%	42.1%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	37.2%	28.9%	13%	10.9%	5.5%	4.5%	56.4%	43.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	47%	32%	12%	—	—	10%	60%	40%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	47%	30%	11%	—	—	12%	60%	40%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			51.6%	23%	9.8%	4.9%	—	10.7%	65.2%	34.8%

Canning

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	36.6%	32.7%	13.1%	10.6%	—	7%	50.2%	49.8%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	44%	27%	10%	—	—	19%	56%	44%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	39.2%	32.2%	9.1%	8.5%	6.9%	4.1%	51.6%	48.4%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	41.6%	25.6%	9.9%	9.2%	10.7%	3.1%	55.9%	44.1%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	41%	24%	7%	—	—	28%	57%	43%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	44%	30%	9%	—	—	17%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			43.8%	32.8%	8.1%	4.5%	1.8%	9%	53.6%	46.4%

Cowan

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	39.7%	25.2%	12%	10.3%	5.5%	7.2%	59.4%	40.6%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	44%	33%	15%	—	—	9%	60%	40%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	39.8%	32.3%	11.4%	8.3%	4.4%	3.8%	56.1%	43.9%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	35.8%	32.2%	13.2%	7.9%	6.7%	4.2%	54.8%	45.2%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	43%	36%	11%	—	—	11%	57%	43%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	43%	35%	10%	—	—	13%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			46.9%	30.4%	9.9%	2.9%	—	10%	60.8%	39.2%

Curtin

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2CP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	IND	ALP	GRN	ONP	OTH	IND	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	34.5%	33.8%	16.4%	10.2%	4.2%	1%	55.7%	44.3%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	38%	—	18%	9%	—	34%	53%	47%
5–7 Mar 2025	Freshwater Strategy^[g]^[23]^[24]	830	—	41%	33%	7%	7%	—	12%	Loss	Win
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	38.2%	28.4%	18.5%	11.8%	2.4%	0.7%	51.2%	48.8%
11–12 Feb 2025	JWS Research^[n]^[19]^[20]^[69]	c. 830	—	56%	28%	—	—	—	—	35%	65%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	37.4%	29.4%	17.6%	12.4%	2.7%	0.5%	53.4%	46.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	39%	—	19%	12%	—	31%	49%	51%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	46%	—	23%	8%	—	22%	47%	53%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			41.3%	29.5%	14.0%	10.4%	1.3%	3.7%	51.3%	48.7%

Durack

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote							2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	NAT	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	39.3%	28.7%	—	10.4%	13.3%	—	8.3%	54.9%	45.1%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	43%	23%	—	9%	—	—	24%	58%	42%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	40.9%	27.4%	—	10.5%	12.8%	4.7%	3.6%	55.4%	44.6%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	40.8%	27.2%	—	11.8%	12.4%	4.9%	2.9%	55.2%	44.8%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	44%	21%	—	6%	—	—	28%	62%	38%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	46%	23%	—	7%	—	—	23%	61%	39%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			34.3%	29.2%	10.2%	9.5%	6.9%	—	9.9%	54.3%	45.7%

Forrest

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP	IND
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	36.1%	21.4%	12.3%	8.8%	13.2%	8.2%	53.9%	46.1%	—
9–10 Apr 2025	uComms^[48]^[72]	c. 1,000	—	34%	—	—	—	20%	—	49%	—	51%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	42%	26%	9%	—	—	23%	56%	44%	—
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	40.8%	28.1%	12.4%	9.2%	4.9%	4.6%	53.8%	46.2%	—
Late Feb 2025	Climate 200^[12]	—	±3%	37%	—	—	—	—	—	51%	—	49%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	43.2%	25.3%	13%	8.9%	7%	2.7%	56.2%	—	43.8%
Between Mar–Dec 2024	Climate 200^[13]	—	—	38%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	44%	25%	9%	—	—	22%	58%	42%	—
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	45%	25%	14%	—	—	17%	56%	44%	—
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			43.1%	27.4%	13.4%	5.3%	—	10.7%	54.3%	45.7%	—

Fremantle

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	37.6%	22.1%	16.9%	7.3%	10.2%	5.8%	62.2%	37.8%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	49%	24%	13%	—	—	14%	68%	32%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	37%	27.8%	17.4%	7%	5.8%	5%	59.1%	40.9%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	36.4%	29.5%	17.8%	6.6%	5.8%	3.9%	57.9%	42.1%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	44%	29%	18%	—	—	9%	65%	35%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	45%	27%	17%	—	—	12%	65%	35%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			44%	24.2%	18.1%	3.1%	—	10.6%	66.9%	33.1%

Hasluck

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	43%	28.3%	14.1%	8%	—	6.6%	60%	40%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	41%	35%	13%	—	—	10%	57%	43%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	38.9%	32.3%	11.8%	8.1%	5.6%	3.4%	55.9%	44.1%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	32.8%	34.3%	13.5%	8.3%	8.3%	2.9%	52.4%	47.6%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	41%	37%	11%	—	—	11%	55%	45%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	43%	35%	10%	—	—	13%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			39.7%	33.4%	11%	3.8%	3.4%	8.7%	56%	44%

Moore

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	36.9%	30.4%	13.3%	7.6%	5%	6.8%	50.3%	49.7%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	45%	33%	10%	—	—	12%	54%	46%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	39.5%	29.7%	12.4%	6.5%	7.4%	4.6%	51.7%	48.3%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	44.5%	26.4%	13.1%	6.4%	6.7%	2.9%	55.8%	44.2%
1 Jan 2025	Ian Goodenough resigns from the Liberal Party to sit as an independent^[73]
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	43%	31%	11%	—	—	14%	53%	47%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	44%	32%	12%	—	—	12%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			41.8%	32.7%	14.3%	3.4%	—	7.8%	50.7%	49.3%

O'Connor

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	38.2%	24.9%	13.6%	11.2%	—	12%	55.1%	44.9%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	33%	26%	6%	—	—	35%	54%	46%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	41.2%	24.3%	10.1%	15.9%	4.3%	4.2%	57.8%	42.2%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	43.9%	23.3%	12.1%	11%	6.1%	3.6%	58.3%	41.7%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	42%	31%	8%	—	—	19%	54%	46%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	43%	22%	10%	—	—	25%	60%	40%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			44.8%	26.6%	10.6%	7.1%	—	10.9%	57%	43%

Pearce

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	37.3%	28.7%	13.9%	11.8%	—	8.3%	56%	44%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	40%	32%	15%	—	—	13%	58%	42%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	34.4%	33%	12.3%	10.9%	4.5%	5%	52.9%	47.1%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	32.7%	34.8%	12.7%	10.9%	5.4%	3.5%	51.1%	48.9%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	36%	34%	15%	—	—	14%	55%	45%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	42%	33%	12%	—	—	13%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			42.8%	29.9%	11%	4.5%	—	11.8%	59%	41%

Perth

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	41.1%	25.8%	22.7%	10.4%	—	—	62.6%	37.4%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	45%	28%	12%	—	—	15%	63%	37%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	36.5%	28.5%	20.6%	5.9%	4.9%	3.5%	59.5%	40.5%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	36.5%	29.6%	21%	5.7%	4.9%	2.3%	58.9%	41.1%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	44%	28%	19%	—	—	9%	65%	35%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	42%	29%	18%	—	—	11%	63%	37%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			39.3%	26.7%	22.2%	2.7%	—	9.2%	64.8%	35.2%

Swan

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	39.4%	28.8%	16.3%	8.4%	—	7.1%	58.5%	41.5%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	46%	30%	14%	—	—	10%	63%	37%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	36.2%	32.6%	15.9%	6.1%	4.9%	4.2%	55.9%	44.1%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	33.6%	33.7%	16.2%	7.1%	6.2%	3.2%	53.9%	46.1%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	41%	32%	14%	—	—	13%	59%	41%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	43%	34%	12%	—	—	10%	59%	41%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			39.1%	32.1%	14.9%	2.5%	—	11.5%	58.8%	41.2%

Tangney

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
1–29 Apr 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[2]^[3]	10,822	—	37%	37.4%	14.8%	5.5%	—	5.3%	53.5%	46.5%
3 Feb – 1 Apr 2025	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[4]	9,953	—	39%	41%	10%	—	—	10%	54%	46%
24 Apr 2025	KJC Research^[21]^[22]	600	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	45%	49%
27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[6]	10,217	—	38.6%	36.2%	12.1%	4.6%	5.1%	3.4%	52.1%	47.9%
11–12 Feb 2025	JWS Research^[n]^[19]^[20]^[69]	c. 830	—	41%	35%	—	—	—	—	44%	56%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025	YouGov (MRP)^[8]	8,732	—	42.1%	31.4%	11.1%	5.3%	6.7%	3.4%	52.5%	47.5%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[9]	4,909	—	40%	38%	14%	—	—	8%	53%	47%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024	Accent/RedBridge (MRP)^[10]	5,976	—	45%	38%	10%	—	—	7%	50%	50%
21 May 2022	2022 federal election			40%	38.1%	12%	2.1%	—	7.9%	52.4%	47.6%

Notes

^ Approximately 23% for Andrew Gee and 15% for Kate Hook.
^ 2.1% for Trumpet of Patriots and 6.7% for all others.
^ 2.8% for Trumpet of Patriots and 0.5% for all others.
^ 0.2% for Trumpet of Patriots and 4.5% for all others.
^ ^a ^b Commissioned by the Australian Forest Products Association
^ 0.5% for Trumpet of Patriots and 14.5% for all others.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f The polling figures published by The Daily Telegraph include the two-candidate-preferred vote winner and the average primary vote results across the electorates of Curtin, Goldstein, Kooyong, Mackellar, Warringah and Wentworth.^[23]
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d Sponsored by The Australia Institute
^ 2.1% for Trumpet of Patriots and 1.7% for Family First.
^ 0.4% for Trumpet of Patriots and 1.2% for all others.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d Commissioned by Climate 200
^ The YouGov MRP projected Labor would win Brisbane, but the party was not shown in the projected two-candidate-preferred vote.^[2]^[3]
^ ^a ^b ^c The polling figures published by The Courier-Mail are a combined primary vote average from the electorates of Brisbane, Griffith and Ryan.^[38]
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h Commissioned by Australian Energy Producers
^ Commissioned by Liberals against Nuclear
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f Commissioned by Advance
^ 1.3% for Trumpet of Patriots and 4.7% for all others.
^ Commissioned by the Liberal Party
^ Commissioned by the Queensland Conservation Council
^ 3.2% for Trumpet of Patriots and 3% for all others.
^ 13% for Peter George, 7% for Brendan Blomeley, and 6% for "some other minor party".^[51]^[52]
^ 1.8% for Trumpet of Patriots and 10.3% for all others.
^ 5.8% for the Jacqui Lambie Network.^[54]^[55]
^ 2.3% for Trumpet of Patriots and 4.5% for all others.
^ Commissioned by the National Party

References

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[16] Approximately 23% for Andrew Gee and 15% for Kate Hook.

[17] 2.1% for Trumpet of Patriots and 6.7% for all others.

[19] 2.8% for Trumpet of Patriots and 0.5% for all others.

[20] 0.2% for Trumpet of Patriots and 4.5% for all others.

[forest-21] Commissioned by the Australian Forest Products Association

[28] 0.5% for Trumpet of Patriots and 14.5% for all others.

[freshwaterteal-29] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f The polling figures published by The Daily Telegraph include the two-candidate-preferred vote winner and the average primary vote results across the electorates of Curtin, Goldstein, Kooyong, Mackellar, Warringah and Wentworth.^[23]

[uComms-32] Sponsored by The Australia Institute

[38] 2.1% for Trumpet of Patriots and 1.7% for Family First.

[39] 0.4% for Trumpet of Patriots and 1.2% for all others.

[climate200-43] Commissioned by Climate 200

[49] The YouGov MRP projected Labor would win Brisbane, but the party was not shown in the projected two-candidate-preferred vote.^[2]^[3]

[greensqld-51] The polling figures published by The Courier-Mail are a combined primary vote average from the electorates of Brisbane, Griffith and Ryan.^[38]

[energy-52] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h Commissioned by Australian Energy Producers

[libsagainstnuclear-55] Commissioned by Liberals against Nuclear

[advance-59] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f Commissioned by Advance

[64] 1.3% for Trumpet of Patriots and 4.7% for all others.

[liberal-65] Commissioned by the Liberal Party

[qcc-67] Commissioned by the Queensland Conservation Council

[69] 3.2% for Trumpet of Patriots and 3% for all others.

[73] 13% for Peter George, 7% for Brendan Blomeley, and 6% for "some other minor party".^[51]^[52]

[75] 1.8% for Trumpet of Patriots and 10.3% for all others.

[78] 5.8% for the Jacqui Lambie Network.^[54]^[55]

[92] 2.3% for Trumpet of Patriots and 4.5% for all others.

[94] Commissioned by the National Party

[1] English, Patrick (13 February 2025). "MRP Methodology". YouGov Australia. Archived from the original on 18 April 2025. Retrieved 19 April 2025.

[yg30apr-2] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r ^s ^t ^u ^v ^w ^x ^y ^z ^aa ^ab ^ac ^ad ^ae ^af ^ag ^ah ^ai ^aj ^ak ^al ^am ^an ^ao ^ap ^aq ^ar ^as ^at ^au ^av ^aw ^ax ^ay ^az ^ba ^bb ^bc ^bd ^be ^bf ^bg ^bh ^bi ^bj ^bk ^bl ^bm ^bn ^bo ^bp ^bq ^br ^bs ^bt ^bu ^bv ^bw ^bx ^by ^bz ^ca ^cb ^cc ^cd ^ce ^cf ^cg ^ch ^ci ^cj "Projected results by electorate". YouGov Australia. 1 May 2025. Retrieved 1 May 2025.

[ygfinal-3] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r ^s ^t ^u ^v ^w ^x ^y ^z ^aa ^ab ^ac ^ad ^ae ^af ^ag ^ah ^ai ^aj ^ak ^al ^am ^an ^ao ^ap ^aq ^ar ^as ^at ^au ^av ^aw ^ax ^ay ^az ^ba ^bb ^bc ^bd ^be ^bf ^bg ^bh ^bi ^bj ^bk ^bl ^bm ^bn ^bo ^bp ^bq ^br ^bs ^bt ^bu ^bv ^bw ^bx ^by ^bz ^ca ^cb ^cc ^cd ^ce ^cf ^cg ^ch ^ci ^cj "Labor to win with an increased majority in YouGov's final MRP of the election". YouGov Australia. 1 May 2025. Archived from the original on 1 May 2025. Retrieved 1 May 2025.

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