2008 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary
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 Primary results by county Obama: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Clinton: 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Elections in Wisconsin |
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The 2008 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary took place on February 19, 2008. 74 pledged delegates were at stake. The 2008 Hawaii Democratic presidential caucuses took place the same day.
The Wisconsin primary came after Senator Barack Obama had won the majority of delegates and votes in 8 straight primaries and caucuses; his wins in Wisconsin, and Hawaii extended his winning streak to 10 and reinforced his front-runner status.[1]
In the days leading up to the primary the Hillary Clinton campaign ran television ads criticizing Obama on healthcare and for not agreeing to more candidate debates.[2] This caused the Obama campaign to launch a response ad that mentioned the 18 debates already held and 2 more scheduled.[3] The Clinton campaign also charged Obama using lines in a speech similar to words spoken by Massachusetts Governor and Obama friend Deval Patrick; Patrick responded by saying he and Obama often swap ideas, and that he had willingly shared lines without asking for credit to be given.[4] Barack Obama was the winner.[5][6]
Polls
[edit]Polls taken throughout 2007 consistently put Hillary Clinton in the lead, but during February 2008 most polls showed Barack Obama with the advantage.[7] A Rasmussen poll taken February 13 reported that almost one-fourth of those polled said there was a good chance they might change their mind. It also found that while Clinton was doing well among women, with a 10-point advantage over Obama, Obama was polling 23 points higher than her among men.[8]
Results
[edit]| Key: | Withdrew prior to contest |
| 2008 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary[9] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | National delegates[10] |
| Barack Obama | 646,851 | 58.08% | 42 |
| Hillary Clinton | 453,954 | 40.76% | 32 |
| John Edwards | 6,693 | 0.60% | 0 |
| Dennis Kucinich | 2,625 | 0.24% | 0 |
| Joe Biden | 755 | 0.07% | 0 |
| Bill Richardson | 528 | 0.05% | 0 |
| Mike Gravel | 517 | 0.05% | 0 |
| Christopher Dodd | 501 | 0.04% | 0 |
| Uninstructed | 861 | 0.08% | 0 |
| Totals | 1,113,285 | 100% | 74 |
Analysis
[edit]In the weeks and days leading up to the Wisconsin Democratic Primary, most pundits agreed that it was Hillary Clinton's chance to halt Obama's momentum after winning contests in Washington, Louisiana, Nebraska, Virginia, Maryland, Washington, D.C. following Super Tuesday.
Hillary Clinton enjoyed healthy leads among white voters in previous states and hoped that winning Wisconsin or at least the white vote would allow for a victory of sorts. However, CNN Exit Polls showed that Obama won the white vote (which comprised 87% of the electorate on primary day) 54%-45%. Also, other key Clinton constituencies showed Obama making significant strides such as the female vote which split 50%-50%, the 54-65 Age Group which voted for Obama 54%-45%.[11]
After the victory in Wisconsin as well as Caucuses in Washington and a primary in Hawaii held on the same day gave Obama the momentum of winning 10 straight contests.[12] The Pledged delegate standing after the Wisconsin Primary was Obama leading 1154-1011.
| 2008 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary[13] | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demographic subgroup | Obama | Clinton | % of
total vote | ||||
| Total vote | 58 | 41 | 100 | ||||
| Sex | |||||||
| Male | 61 | 35 | 43 | ||||
| Female | 51 | 49 | 57 | ||||
| Age | |||||||
| 18–64 years old | 61 | 37 | 72 | ||||
| 65 and older | 39 | 60 | 28 | ||||
| Marital status | |||||||
| Married | 53 | 45 | 63 | ||||
| Single | 58 | 39 | 37 | ||||
| Family income | |||||||
| Less than $50,000 | 51 | 49 | 41 | ||||
| $50,000 or more | 59 | 39 | 59 | ||||
| Religion | |||||||
| Protestant/Other Christian | 57 | 43 | 32 | ||||
| Catholic | 49 | 51 | 40 | ||||
| None | 53 | 38 | 11 | ||||
| Education | |||||||
| High school graduate | 44 | 52 | 25 | ||||
| Some college or associate degree | 57 | 43 | 31 | ||||
| College graduate | 59 | 41 | 22 | ||||
| Postgraduate study | 64 | 32 | 20 | ||||
| Party affiliation | |||||||
| Democrat | 50 | 49 | 64 | ||||
| Independent / Other | 63 | 34 | 27 | ||||
| Political philosophy | |||||||
| Liberal | 56 | 40 | 47 | ||||
| Moderate | 54 | 46 | 40 | ||||
| Conservative | 52 | 48 | 13 | ||||
| Which issue is the most important facing the country? | |||||||
| The economy | 55 | 43 | 43 | ||||
| The war in Iraq | 57 | 40 | 29 | ||||
| Health care | 51 | 48 | 25 | ||||
| Candidate quality that matters most | |||||||
| Can bring about needed change | 77 | 20 | 52 | ||||
| Cares about people like me | 53 | 46 | 16 | ||||
| Has the right experience | 5 | 95 | 24 | ||||
See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ Hirsh, Michael (February 19, 2008). "Barack Obama: Front Runner". Newsweek. Retrieved January 19, 2009.
- ^ Baldwin, Tom (February 20, 2008). "Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton trade blows as Wisconsin decides". London: Times. Archived from the original on September 7, 2008. Retrieved February 20, 2008.
- ^ "Democrats Vote In Wisconsin And Hawaii". AP. 9 News. February 19, 2008. Retrieved January 19, 2008.
- ^ "Clinton Fingerprints on Plagiarism Flap". Associated Press. February 19, 2008. Archived from the original on March 11, 2008. Retrieved February 19, 2008.
- ^ "RESULTS: Wisconsin". CNN. February 19, 2008. Retrieved February 19, 2008.
- ^ "Obama wins Wisconsin primary poll". BBC. February 19, 2008. Retrieved February 19, 2008.
- ^ "2008 Wisconsin Democratic Presidential Primary". Pollster. Archived from the original on May 11, 2008. Retrieved February 19, 2008.
- ^ "Wisconsin Democratic Presidential Primary". Rasmussen Reports. February 13, 2008. Archived from the original on February 17, 2008. Retrieved February 19, 2008.
- ^ "Wisconsin State Elections Board". Archived from the original on March 12, 2008. Retrieved March 10, 2008.
- ^ The Green Papers
- ^ "CNN EXIT POLLS".
- ^ "Obama extends streak with Wis., Hawaii wins". NBC News. February 20, 2008. Retrieved January 19, 2009.
- ^ "Election Guide 2008 - Presidential Election - Politics - Results - The New York Times". archive.nytimes.com. Retrieved May 18, 2025.