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Mmadinare (Botswana constituency)

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Mmadinare
Single-member constituency
for the National Assembly
DistrictCentral District
Population30,460
Major settlementsMmadinare
Area5,614 km2
Current constituency
Created1965
Party  UDC
MPKetlhalefile Motshegwa
Margin of victory38 (0.4 pp)

Mmadinare is a constituency in Botswana represented in the National Assembly of Botswana since 2024 by Ketlhalefile Motshegwa, an Umbrella for Democratic Change (UDC) MP since 2024.

Constituency profile

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The seat was a stronghold for the Botswana Democratic Party (BDP), consistently delivering large majorities in its favor from its establishment in 1965 until the 2024 Botswana general election, when the Umbrella for Democratic Change (UDC) flipped it to the opposition. This shift was mainly due to a steep collapse in the BDP vote, ending the party’s 58-year grip on the constituency. Notably, the seat had long been considered a safe one for the BDP, particularly for a constituency outside Serowe for instance, it was the safest non-Serowe based seat for the BDP in the country in the 2014 general election. This victory reflected the broader success of the UDC in northern Botswana during the 2024 election, where the BDP was completely locked out of the Central District — historically its strongest region.

The predominantly rural constituency anchored around the mining town of Selebi-Phikwe encompasses the following localities:[1]

  1. Mmadinare
  2. Sefophe
  3. Tobane
  4. Tshokwe
  5. Robelela
  6. Damochojenaa

Members of Parliament

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Key:   BDP   UDC

Election Winner
1965 election Amos Dambe
1969 election
1974 election Kebatlamang Morake
1979 election
1984 election Ponatshego Kedikilwe
1989 election
1994 election
1999 election
2004 election
2009 election
2014 election Kefentse Mzwinila
2019 election Molebatsi Molebatsi
2024 election Ketlhalefile Motshegwa

Election results

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2024 election

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General election 2024: Mmadinare[2]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
UDC Ketlhalefile Motshegwa 3,285 30.33 +1.24
BCP Sennye Obuseng 3,247 29.98 N/A
BDP Kefentse Mzwinila 2,849 26.31 −23.73
BPF Jacob Mosimanyana 1,333 12.31 −4.51
BMD Lame Bothman-Hall 116 1.07 N/A
Margin of victory 38 0.35 N/A
Total valid votes 10,830 98.93 −0.19
Rejected ballots 117 1.07 +0.19
Turnout 10,947 80.63 −1.61
Registered electors 13,577
UDC gain from BDP Swing +15.61

2019 election

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General election 2019: Mmadinare[3]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Molebatsi Molebatsi 6,847 50.04 −20.11
UDC Joseph Bagwasi 3,980 29.09 −0.76
BPF Felicity Keleeme 2,301 16.82 N/A
AP Motshereganyi Madingwane 555 4.06 N/A
Margin of victory 2,867 20.95 −19.35
Total valid votes 13,683 99.12 +1.26
Rejected ballots 121 0.88 −1.26
Turnout 13,804 82.54 +1.28
Registered electors 16,725
BDP hold Swing −9.68

2014 election

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General election 2014: Mmadinare[4]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Ponatshego Kedikilwe 7,325 70.15 −1.11
BCP Christopher Motsholapheko 3,117 29.85 +1.11
Margin of victory 4,208 40.30 −2.22
Total valid votes 10,442 97.86 −0.06
Rejected ballots 228 2.14 +0.06
Turnout 10,670 81.26 +4.54
Registered electors 13,131
BDP hold Swing −1.11

2009 election

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General election 2009: Mmadinare[5]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Ponatshego Kedikilwe 6,304 71.26 −7.27
BCP Christopher Motsholapheko 2,542 28.74 +7.27
Margin of victory 3,762 42.52 −14.54
Total valid votes 8,846 97.92 +1.32
Rejected ballots 188 2.08 −1.32
Turnout 9,034 76.72 +6.19
Registered electors 11,776
BDP hold Swing −7.27

2004 election

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General election 2004: Mmadinare[6]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Ponatshego Kedikilwe 4,258 78.53 −10.05
BCP Christopher Motsholapheko 1,137 21.47 N/A
Margin of victory 3,021 57.06 −20.10
Total valid votes 5,295 96.26 +5.64
Rejected ballots 206 3.74 −5.64
Turnout 5,501 70.53 +2.30
Registered electors 7,800
BDP hold Swing −10.05

1999 election

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General election 1999: Mmadinare[7]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Ponatshego Kedikilwe 4,398 88.58 +3.17
BNF R.J. Lesedi 567 11.42 −3.17
Margin of victory 3,831 77.16 +6.34
Total valid votes 4,965 90.62 N/A
Rejected ballots 514 9.38 N/A
Turnout 5,479 68.23 +10.86
Registered electors 8,030
BDP hold Swing +3.17

1994 election

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General election 1994: Mmadinare[7]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Ponatshego Kedikilwe 3,871 85.41 −3.89
BNF Moses Seeletso 661 14.59 +3.89
Margin of victory 3,210 70.82 −7.78
Turnout 4,532 57.37 −14.17
Registered electors 7,900
BDP hold Swing −3.89

1989 election

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General election 1989: Mmadinare[7]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Ponatshego Kedikilwe 4,650 89.30 −2.80
BNF Gabaikitse Kolenyane 557 10.70 +2.80
Margin of victory 4,093 78.60 −5.60
Turnout 5,207 71.54 −8.27
Registered electors 7,278
BDP hold Swing −2.80

1984 election

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General election 1984: Mmadinare
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Ponatshego Kedikilwe 4,817 92.10 +5.59
BNF Nicolas Selelo 417 7.90 +2.39
Margin of victory 4,400 84.20 +5.66
Turnout 5,230 79.81 +23.19
Registered electors 6,553
BDP hold Swing +3.99

1979 election

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General election 1979: Mmadinare[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
BDP Kebatlamang Morake 5,068 86.51
BPP P.K. Pudiephatshwa 467 7.97
BNF M. Giddie 323 5.51
Margin of victory 4,601 78.54
Turnout 5,858 56.62
Registered electors 10,345
BDP hold

1974 election

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General election 1974: Mmadinare[9]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Kebatlamang Morake Walkover N/A N/A
BDP hold

1969 election

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General election 1969: Madinare[10]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Amos Dambe 4,222 96.48 +0.82
BIP M.L. Mabengano 82 1.87 +0.06
BPP L. Sentufhe 72 1.65 −0.89
Margin of victory 4,140 94.61 +1.49
Turnout 64.24 −24.4
Registered electors 6,812
BDP hold Swing +0.44

1965 election

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General election 1965: Madinare [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
BDP Amos Dambe 6,144 95.66
BPP K.J. Letoa 163 2.54
BIP L. Mabeganu 116 1.81
Margin of victory 5,981 93.12
Turnout 6,423 88.6
Registered electors N/A
BDP win (new seat)

References

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  1. ^ 2022 DELIMITATION COMMISSION REPORT (PDF). 2022.
  2. ^ "Motshegwa wins Mmadinare Constituency". DailyNews. 31 October 2024.
  3. ^ Report to the Minister for Presidential Affairs, Governance and Public Administration on the 2019 General Elections (PDF). Independent Electoral Commission (IEC). 2020.
  4. ^ Independent Electoral Commission - Botswana National Assembly, 2014
  5. ^ Report To The Minister Of Presidential Affairs And Public Administration On The 2009 General Elections (PDF). Independent Electoral Commission (IEC).
  6. ^ BOTSWANA GENERAL ELECTIONS 30th OCTOBER 2004 POLLING RESULTS (PDF). Independent Electoral Commission (IEC).
  7. ^ a b c Results by constituency
  8. ^ Democracy in the face of a weak Opposition in Botswana, Brian T. Mokopakgosi & Mpho G. Molomo (2000)
  9. ^ Report to the Minister of State on the general elections, 1974 (PDF). Supervisor of Elections. 1974.
  10. ^ "Report on the General Elections 1969" (PDF). 1969.
  11. ^ Gossett, Charles W.; Kebapetse, Lotshwao (21 April 2013). "Report on the 1965 General Election and the 1966 Local Government Election". Botswana Notes & Records. 41. Rochester, NY: Social Science Research Network (published 2009): 53. Retrieved 2024-01-27.