Hannan–Quinn information criterion

In statistics, the Hannan–Quinn information criterion (HQC) is a criterion for model selection.^[1] It is an alternative to Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC). It is given as

\mathrm {HQC} =-2L_{max}+2k\ln(\ln(n))\

Where:

$L_{max}$ is the log-likelihood,
k is the number of parameters, and
n is the number of observations.

According to Burnham and Anderson, HQIC, "while often cited, seems to have seen little use in practice" (p. 287).^[2] They also note that HQIC, like BIC, but unlike AIC, is not an estimator of Kullback–Leibler divergence.

Claeskens and Hjort note that HQC, like BIC, but unlike AIC, is not asymptotically efficient; however, it misses the optimal estimation rate by a very small $\ln(\ln(n))$ factor (ch. 4).^[3] They further point out that whatever method is being used for fine-tuning the criterion will be more important in practice than the term $\ln(\ln(n))$ , since this latter number is small even for very large $n$ ; however, the $\ln(\ln(n))$ term ensures that, unlike AIC, HQC is strongly consistent. It follows from the law of the iterated logarithm that any strongly consistent method must miss efficiency by at least a $\ln(\ln(n))$ factor, so in this sense HQC is asymptotically very well-behaved.

Van der Pas and Grünwald prove that model selection based on a modified Bayesian estimator, the so-called switch distribution, in many cases behaves asymptotically like HQC, while retaining the advantages of Bayesian methods such as the use of priors.^[4]

References

^ Hannan, E. J.; Quinn, B. G. (1979-01-01). "The Determination of the Order of an Autoregression". Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Methodological). 41 (2): 190–195. doi:10.1111/j.2517-6161.1979.tb01072.x. ISSN 0035-9246.
^ Burnham, Kenneth P.; Anderson, David Raymond; Burnham, Kenneth P. (2002). Model selection and multimodel inference: a practical information-theoretic approach (2nd ed.). New York: Springer. ISBN 978-0-387-95364-9. OCLC 48557578.
^ Claeskens, Gerda; Hjort, Nils Lid (2008). Model selection and model averaging. Cambridge series in statistical and probabilistic mathematics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-0-511-79048-5.
^ van der Pas, Stephanie; Gruenwald, Peter (2018). "Almost the Best of Three Worlds: Risk, Consistency and Optional Stopping for the Switch Criterion in Nested Model Selection". Statistica Sinica. arXiv:1408.5724. doi:10.5705/ss.202016.0011.

Hannan–Quinn information criterion

See also

References

Further reading