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Draft:Dynamic-strategy theory

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Dynamic-strategy theory (DST) is a realist general dynamic theory developed by the systems theorist Graeme Snooks in The Dynamic Society (1996), Ark of the Sun (2015), and Unlocking the Mystery of the Cosmos (2025).[1] The DST was constructed to explain the fluctuating fortunes of both life and human society over the past 4,000 and 2 million years respectively, together with the dynamics of the cosmos over the past 13.8 billion years .[2] It also offers an explanation for the great biological, technological, and cosmological paradigm shifts throughout time. Further, it predicts the exhaustion of the present industrial technical paradigm on Earth and its replacement with the imminent solar technical paradigm. Recently it has been employed to examine the great cosmological paradigm shifts as part of the progression of the Strategic Superverse.

Since the early 1990s, the DST has been applied to many species, societies, and intellectual issues; and has contributed to debates on the singularity, the role of Big History, and how to achieve Artificial General Intelligence (AGI).[3] This work has received widespread multi-disciplinary recognition.[4]

The distinguishing features of DST are its endogenous and demand-side characteristics. The dynamic-strategy theory consists of the following four interacting factors:

  1. the driving force of all "energy-generating entities" (EGEs), whether they be organisms, humans, or stars/galaxies, is the "force to exist"; for organic life this is called "strategic desire" (struggling against scarcity) and for inanimate EGEs it is called "strategic repulsion" (struggling against gravity)
  2. the four "dynamic strategies" - genetic/technological change, family multiplication (procreation and migration), symbiosis/commerce, and conquest - which are employed by EGEs to achieve their objective of avoiding annihilation
  3. the "strategic struggle" through which EGEs attempt to resist the forces of annihilation--of competition for scarce resources in life, and of gravity in the cosmos
  4. the constraining force of "strategic exhaustion" (not natural resource exhaustion, which is technology dependent), which leads to the stagnation and collapse of societies, species, and biological/technological/cosmological paradigms

While this system is endogenously determined, it is subject to exogenous shocks, both physical and biological, that impact randomly, unsystematically and marginally. In this dynamic model, species, dynasties and biological/technological/cosmological paradigms collapse not due to exogenous shocks but to endogenous strategic exhaustion.[5]

Publications

  • G.D. Snooks (1996), The Dynamic Society, London & New York: Routledge.
  • G.D. Snooks (1997), The Ephemeral Civilisation, London & New York: Routledge.
  • G.D. Snooks (1998), The Laws of History, London & New York: Routledge.
  • G.D. Snooks(2015), Ark of the Sun, Canberra: IGDS Books.
  • G.D. Snooks (2024), ‘ ‘ Paradox of a Mindless Artificial Intelligence ‘ ‘, Canberra: IGDS Books.
  • G.D. Snooks (2025), ' 'Unlocking the Mystery of the Cosmos: a realist general dynamic theory of the Strategic Superverse' '. Canberra: IGDS snooks.
  • H. McKay (2024),The Strategic Logic of China's Economy, Cham Switzerland: Springer.
  • G. Magee (2006), 'As big as it gets: Big Theory and [Snooks'] Collapse of Darwinism in Social Evolution & Hostor, vol. 5 (March).
  • Y. Kyngdon (2013), 'Interview of Graeme Snooks' for e-International Relations: "www.e-ir.info/2013/08/07/interview-graeme-snooks/
  • A.N. Chumakov (2014), Global Studies: An Encyclopedic Dictionary, Value Enquiry Books.
  • B. Roodrigue et al (eds), Our Place in the Universe. an Introduction to Big History, Deli: Primus Books.
  • A.V. Korotayev & D.J. LePoire (eds), The 21st Century Singularity & Global Futures. Switzerland: Springer.

References

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  1. ^ A.G.Frank 'Materialistically yours: the dynamic society of Graeme Snooks' Journal of World History, vol. 9, 1998, and Y. Kyngdon 'Interview with Graeme Snooks', e-International Relations, 2013
  2. ^ Gary Magee, 'As Big as it Gets: ‘Big Theory’ and the Collapse of Darwinism', Social Evolution & History, 2006
  3. ^ See Graeme Snooks, Academia.com; Huw MacKay, The Strategic Logic of China's Economy; B. Rodrigue et al, Our Place in the Universe, ch. 8; A. Korotayev & D. LePoire, The 21st Century Singularity, chs 1, 12 & 27; Chumakov, Global Studies, and Graeme Snooks, Paradox of a Mindless AI.
  4. ^ This recognition is summarised in F. Sabry (2024) ‘’Graeme Snooks. Charting Intellectual Frontiers, Exploring Graeme Snooks’s Transformative Ideas.’’One Billion Knowledgeable Books
  5. ^ See Snooks, Dynamic Society, ch. 12