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2025 Jamaican general election

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2025 Jamaican general election

← 2020 By 15 December 2025

All 63 seats in the House of Representatives
32 seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Andrew Holness Mark Golding
Party JLP PNP
Last election 57.07%, 49 seats 42.76%, 14 seats
Current seats 49 14 seats
Seats needed Steady Increase 18

Incumbent Prime Minister

Andrew Holness
JLP



General elections are scheduled to be held in Jamaica in 2025.[1] The incumbent government Jamaica Labour Party (JLP) is seeking a third term in office against the opposition People’s National Party (PNP).[2]

Background

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Minister of Legal and Constitutional Affairs Marlene Malahoo Forte said that Jamaica would transition to being a republic before the next general election.[3] In December 2024 a bill was tabled on transitioning to becoming a republic. The bill requires review by joint committees, followed by a parliamentary vote and a referendum to approve the change.[4] Preselection contests will be held in March 2025.[5]

Timeline

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Electoral system

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The 63 members of the House of Representatives are elected in single-member constituencies by first-past-the-post voting.[8] Voters must be 18 years and over and be a citizen of Jamaica or a Commonwealth citizen.[9]

The leader of the party commanding a majority of support in the House of Representatives is called on by the Governor General to form a government as Prime Minister,[10] while the leader of the largest group or coalition not in government becomes the Leader of the Opposition.[11]

Members not seeking re-election

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Member Constituency Party First elected Date announced
Lisa Hanna Saint Ann South Eastern People's National Party 2007 9 August 2022[12]

Candidates

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The election will be decided in marginal seats.[13]

Constituency JLP PNP
Clarendon Central
Clarendon North Central
Clarendon North Western
Clarendon Northern
Clarendon South Eastern
Clarendon South Western
Hanover Eastern
Hanover Western
Kingston Central Steve McGreggor
Kingston East & Port Royal
Kingston Western
Manchester Central Rhoda Moy Crawford Donovan Mitchell
Manchester North Eastern
Manchester North Western
Manchester Southern Peter Bunting
Portland Eastern Ann-Marie Vaz Isat Buchanan
Portland Western
Saint Andrew East Central
Saint Andrew East Rural Juliet Cuthbert-Flynn Joan Gordon-Webley[14]
Saint Andrew Eastern Fayval Williams Patricia Duncan-Sutherland
Saint Andrew North Central
Saint Andrew North Eastern
Saint Andrew North Western
Saint Andrew South Eastern
Saint Andrew South Western
Saint Andrew Southern
Saint Andrew West Central
Saint Andrew West Rural
Saint Andrew Western
Saint Ann North Eastern
Saint Ann North Western
Saint Ann South Eastern
Saint Ann South Western
Saint Catherine Central
Saint Catherine East Central
Saint Catherine Eastern
Saint Catherine North Central
Saint Catherine North Eastern
Saint Catherine North Western
Saint Catherine South Central
Saint Catherine South Eastern
Saint Catherine South Western
Saint Catherine Southern
Saint Catherine West Central
Saint Elizabeth North Eastern
Saint Elizabeth North Western
Saint Elizabeth South Eastern
Saint Elizabeth South Western
Saint James Central
Saint James East Central
Saint James North Western
Saint James Southern
Saint James West Central
Saint Mary Central Omar Newell
Saint Mary South Eastern Dr. Norman Dunn Christopher Brown
Saint Mary Western Robert Montague Omar Woodbine
Saint Thomas Eastern
Saint Thomas Western James Robertson Hubert Williams
Trelawny Northern Dennis Meadows[15]
Trelawny Southern Devon McDaniel[16] Paul Patmore
Westmoreland Central Dwayne Vaz
Westmoreland Eastern Dayton Campbell[17]
Westmoreland Western Garfield James[18] Ian Hayles[19]

Opinion polls

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Date Pollster Sample
size
JLP PNP Other[a] Non-voting Lead
27 September – 3 October 2024 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[20] 1,012 43.5 56.5 13
6 – 19 September 2024 Nationwide/Bluedot poll[21] 1,246 53 47 6
June 2024 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[22] 44.0 56 12
4 – 12 April 2024 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[23] 1,057 44.1 55.9 11.8
26 February 2024 2024 Jamaican local elections 47.8 51.8 0.6 4
24 November – 7 December 2023 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[24] 1,015 22 25 18 35 3
17 – 26 February 2023 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[25] 1,002 27.9 28.1 19 25 0.2
13 September 2022 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[26] - 31 18 17 34 13
22 September 2021 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[27] 1,003 26 15 26 31 11
3 September 2020 2020 general election 57.1 42.8 0.1 14.3

Notes

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  1. ^ Includes "Don't Know/Unsure"

References

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  1. ^ McEwan, Janiel (2025-01-30). "Election showdown and the future". Jamaica Obsever. Retrieved 2025-03-10.
  2. ^ "Strategy and message for the 2025 general election". The Gleaner. 2025-03-09. Retrieved 2025-03-10.
  3. ^ "Jamaica to transition to republic status by next general election —Malahoo Forte". Jamaica Observer. 2022-06-07. Retrieved 2023-01-11.
  4. ^ Banatvala, Steffie (2024-12-13). "Jamaica introduces bill to remove King Charles as head of state and become a republic". The Independent. Retrieved 2024-12-14.
  5. ^ "Fight for JLP ticket in Clarendon North Western, Manchester Southern goes to delegates March 16". The Gleaner. 2025-03-09. Retrieved 2025-03-10.
  6. ^ "Dalrymple-Philibert confident in JLP councillor-candidates for Trelawny Southern". The Gleaner. 2024-02-09. Retrieved 2024-02-12.
  7. ^ "Jamaica Patriotic Movement makes demands". Jamaica Observer. 2025-03-09. Retrieved 2025-03-10.
  8. ^ "Electoral System". Inter-Parliamentary Union.
  9. ^ "Registration Procedures". Electoral Commission of Jamaica. Archived from the original on 5 March 2020. Retrieved 7 September 2020.
  10. ^ "The Executive". Jamaica Information Service. Archived from the original on 5 September 2020. Retrieved 7 September 2020.
  11. ^ "The Opposition". Jamaica Information Service. Archived from the original on 26 August 2020. Retrieved 7 September 2020.
  12. ^ "Why Lisa Hanna is leaving representational politics". The Gleaner. 2022-08-09. Retrieved 2023-04-04.
  13. ^ "Seat strategy for 2025". The Gleanerlanguage=en. 2025-03-09. Retrieved 2025-05-31.
  14. ^ "JLP's Duane Smith Calls PNP's Joan Gordon-Webley a '44-year loser'". The Gleaner. 2025-02-27. Retrieved 2025-05-25.
  15. ^ Hines, Horace (2024-02-29). "'I misspoke' Meadows apologises for glorifying scamming; blames comments on political pressure". Jamaica Observer. Retrieved 2025-05-26.
  16. ^ "McDaniel to represent JLP in general election for South Trelawny". The Gleaner. 2024-03-30. Retrieved 2025-05-26.
  17. ^ Ellis, Toriann (10 May 2025). "Campbell: PNP not seeking to govern to enrich members". Our Today. Retrieved 2025-05-31.
  18. ^ "Dr Garfield James Wins JLP Candidate Selection Vote In Westmoreland Western". Radio Jamaica News. 15 April 2025. Retrieved 2025-05-25.
  19. ^ Lewis, Anthony (2025-01-28). "Holness: JLP yet to decide on Westmoreland Western representative". Jamaica Observer. Retrieved 2025-05-31.
  20. ^ @AmericaElige (November 25, 2024). "Jamaica, RJRGLEANER/Don Anderson poll" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  21. ^ @AmericaElige (November 25, 2024). "Jamaica, Nationwide/Bluedot poll" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  22. ^ @AmericaElige (August 2, 2024). "Jamaica, RJRGLEANER/Don Anderson poll" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  23. ^ @AmericaElige (May 15, 2024). "Jamaica, RJRGLEANER/Don Anderson poll" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  24. ^ "PNP holds lead". The Gleaner. 2023-12-22. Retrieved 2024-01-05.
  25. ^ "Dead heat". The Gleaner. 2023-03-12. Retrieved 2023-03-25.
  26. ^ "JLP in lead". The Gleaner. 2022-09-13. Retrieved 2023-03-25.
  27. ^ "Poll: JLP now nine percentage points ahead of PNP". The Gleaner. 2021-09-22. Retrieved 2023-01-11.