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Tswapong North

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Tswapong North
Single-member constituency
for the National Assembly
DistrictCentral District
Population41,245
Major settlementsLerala
Area6,151 km2
Current constituency
Created1965
Party  UDC
MPPrince Maele
Margin of victory3,076 (15.5 pp)

Tswapong North is a constituency in the Central District represented in the National Assembly of Botswana by Prince Maele, a UDC MP and current Minister of Higher Education since 2024.

Constituency profile

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Situated in the southeast of the Central District of Botswana, the Tswapong North constituency was established in 1965 for the country's inaugural elections and is one of Botswana's longest extant constituencies.

Reflecting the dominant Tswapong population which has largely assimilated with the Ngwato tribe, the constituency was historically a Botswana Democratic Party (BDP) stronghold. From 1965 to 2014, the BDP consistently garnered an average of 80% of the vote. However, since the turn of the century, the BDP's dominance began to wane, with its vote share decreasing in each election since 1999. The constituency was subject to modest boundary changes and was briefly renamed to Lerala-Maunatlala in the run-up to the 2014 general election.

In 2019, echoing a broader trend within the district, a significant political realignment occurred as Ian Khama, paramount chief of the Ngwato tribe fell out with the incumbent president, Mokgweetsi Masisi and leader of the BDP. This political discord impacted the constituency's voting patterns.[1][2] The 2019 election saw an 11 percentage point swing against the BDP, marking the first time the BDP failed to have a majority of the votes cast in the constituency. However, opposition parties split votes amongst themselves, allowing the BDP to eke out a victory. In the 2024 Botswana general election, the Umbrella for Democratic Change flipped it to the opposition column due to a steep collapse in the BDP vote, ending the party’s 58-year grip on the constituency.

The constituency, predominantly rural, encompasses the following villages:[3]

  1. Lerala
  2. Lecheng
  3. Mokungwana
  4. Matlhakola
  5. Goo-Segkweng
  6. Gootau
  7. Manaledi
  8. Majwaneng
  9. Seolwane
  10. Kagodi
  11. Diloro
  12. Mogapinyana
  13. Ratholo
  14. Moeng
  15. Mosweu
  16. Mokokwana
  17. Maunatlala
  18. Lesenepole
  19. Moremi
  20. Malaka
  21. Maokatumo
  22. Tamasane
  23. Mogapi

Members of Parliament

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Key:   BDP   UDC

Election Winner
1965 election Moutlakgola P.K. Nwako
1969 election
1974 election
1979 election
1984 election
1989 election
1994 election Thebe Mogami
1999 election
2004 election
2009 election Prince Maele
2014 election
2019 election Setlhabelo Modukanele
2024 election Prince Maele

Election results

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2024 election

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General election 2024: Tswapong North[4]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
UDC Prince Maele 7,433 37.44 +20.11
BPF Pini Morupisi 4,357 21.95 N/A
BDP Setlhabelo Modukanele 4,156 20.93 −22.96
BCP Gothusang Phuthego 3,907 19.68 N/A
Margin of victory 3,076 15.49 N/A
Total valid votes 19,853 99.25 −0.01
Rejected ballots 151 0.75 +0.01
Turnout 20,004 84.63 −2.17
Registered electors 23,637
UDC gain from BDP Swing N/A

2019 election

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General election 2019: Lerala-Maunatlala[5]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Setlhabelo Modukanele 6,166 43.89 −10.82
Independent Prince Maele 5,027 35.78 N/A
UDC Ketshogile Kabo 2,435 17.33 +7.46
BMD Dumisani Jeremiah 214 1.52 N/A
AP Gothusang Phuthego 208 1.48 N/A
Margin of victory 1,139 8.11 −11.18
Total valid votes 14,050 99.26 +0.86
Rejected ballots 105 0.74 −0.86
Turnout 14,155 86.80 +2.26
Registered electors 16,307
BDP hold Swing N/A

2014 election

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General election 2014: Lerala-Maunatlala[6]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Prince Maele 6,356 54.71 −4.30
Independent Setlhabelo Modukanele 4,115 35.42 N/A
BCP Montwedi Mokhurutse 1,147 9.87 −2.94
Margin of victory 2,241 19.29 −14.15
Total valid votes 11,618 98.40 +3.20
Rejected ballots 189 1.60 −3.20
Turnout 11,807 84.54 +11.31
Registered electors 13,966
BDP hold Swing N/A

2009 election

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General election 2009: Tswapong North[7]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Prince Maele 6,049 59.01 −12.21
Independent Gabagopole Sebele 2,600 25.37 N/A
BCP Bonang Mafoko 1,313 12.81 −3.76
BNF Lentsifetse Masilo 288 2.81 −9.39
Margin of victory 3,449 33.44 −21.21
Total valid votes 10,250 95.24 −3.03
Rejected ballots 512 4.76 +3.03
Turnout 10,762 73.23 +1.00
Registered electors 14,696
BDP hold Swing N/A

2004 election

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General election 2004: Tswapong North[8]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Thebe Mogami 5,579 71.22 −14.02
BCP Bonang Mafoko 1,298 16.57 +10.91
BNF Zachariah Kgwadi 956 12.20 +3.10
Margin of victory 4,281 54.65 −21.49
Total valid votes 7,833 98.27 +2.69
Rejected ballots 138 1.94 −2.69
Turnout 7,971 72.23 −3.40
Registered electors 11,036
BDP hold Swing −12.47

1999 election

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General election 1999: Tswapong North[9]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Thebe Mogami 4,973 85.24 −2.05
BNF L.S. Masilo 531 9.10 −3.61
BCP O.S. Namane 330 5.66 N/A
Margin of victory 4,442 76.14 +2.13
Total valid votes 5,834 95.58 N/A
Rejected ballots 270 4.42 N/A
Turnout 6,104 68.83 −5.18
Registered electors 8,868
BDP hold Swing +0.78

1994 election

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General election 1994: Tswapong North[10]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Thebe Mogami 5,104 87.29 +5.52
BNF O.S. Namane 743 12.71 −3.54
Margin of victory 4,361 74.58 +9.06
Turnout 5,847 74.01 +6.30
Registered electors 7,900
BDP hold Swing +4.53

1989 election

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General election 1989: Tswapong North[10]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Moutlakgola P.K. Nwako 7,156 81.77 −10.73
BNF James Olesitse 1,422 16.25 +8.75
BIP Ontiretse Mofswane 103 1.18 N/A
BPP Edwin Mhaladi 70 0.80 +8.75
Margin of victory 5,734 65.52 −12.51
Turnout 8,751 67.71 −10.32
Registered electors 12,925
BDP hold Swing −9.74

1984 election

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General election 1984: Tswapong North
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Moutlakgola P.K. Nwako 7,475 92.50 −3.90
BNF Bailekae Ramahosi 606 7.50 N/A
Margin of victory 6,869 85.00 −7.80
Turnout 8,081 78.03 +19.19
Registered electors 10,356
BDP hold Swing −3.90

1979 election

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General election 1979: Tswapong North[11]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Moutlakgola P.K. Nwako 5,724 96.40 +2.27
BIP Ontiretse Mofswane 214 3.60 −2.27
Margin of victory 5,510 92.80 +4.54
Turnout 5,398 58.84 +20.95
Registered electors 10,091
BDP hold Swing +2.27

1974 election

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General election 1974: Tswapong North[12]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Moutlakgola P.K. Nwako 4,424 94.13 +1.37
BIP Ontiretse Mofswane 276 5.87 −1.37
Margin of victory 4,148 88.26 +2.74
Turnout 4,700 37.89 −25.44
Registered electors 12,403
BDP hold Swing +1.37

1969 election

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General election 1969: Tswapong North[13]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Moutlakgola P.K. Nwako 2,921 92.76 +5.66
BIP Ontiretse Mofswane 228 7.24 −4.73
Margin of victory 2,693 85.52 +10.49
Turnout 3,149 63.33 −20.6
Registered electors 4,972
BDP hold Swing +5.20

1965 election

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General election 1965: Tswapong North[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
BDP Moutlakgola P.K. Nwako 4,949 87.10
BIP Ontiretse Mofswane 680 11.97
BPP C. Tladi 53 0.93
Margin of victory 4,269 75.13
Turnout 5,682 ~83.9
Registered electors N/A
BDP win (new seat)

References

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  1. ^ Seabo, Batlang; Nyenhuis, Robert (2021-11-23). "Botswana's 2019 General Elections: A Referendum on General Ian Khama". African Studies Review. 64 (4): 854–883. doi:10.1017/asr.2021.69. ISSN 0002-0206. S2CID 244539238.
  2. ^ Basimanebotlhe, Tsaone (2022-10-10). "Serowe constituencies vulnerable as BPF rumpus continues". Mmegi Online. Retrieved 2024-04-12.
  3. ^ 2022 DELIMITATION COMMISSION REPORT (PDF). 2022.
  4. ^ "Maele returns as Tswapong North MP". DailyNews. 1 November 2024.
  5. ^ Independent Electoral Commission - Botswana National Assembly, 2019
  6. ^ Independent Electoral Commission - Botswana National Assembly, 2014
  7. ^ Independent Electoral Commission - Botswana National Assembly, 2009
  8. ^ Independent Electoral Commission - Botswana National Assembly, 2004
  9. ^ Independent Electoral Commission - Botswana National Assembly, 1999
  10. ^ a b Results by constituency
  11. ^ Democracy in the face of a weak Opposition in Botswana, Brian T. Mokopakgosi & Mpho G. Molomo (2000)
  12. ^ Report to the Minister of State on the general elections, 1974 (PDF). Supervisor of Elections. 1974.
  13. ^ "Report on the General Elections 1969" (PDF). 1969.
  14. ^ Gossett, Charles W.; Kebapetse, Lotshwao (21 April 2013). "Report on the 1965 General Election and the 1966 Local Government Election". Botswana Notes & Records. 41. Rochester, NY: Social Science Research Network (published 2009): 54. SSRN 2254423. Retrieved 2024-04-11.